Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Cartoony + Colorful
Games tagged both Cartoony and Colorful: 426 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cartoony + Colorful priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with Cartoony and trails Colorful; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
48 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
48 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 48 games tagged both Cartoony and Colorful priced $10 to $20. 14.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.7 for Cartoony-only games and 14.7 for Colorful-only games, so the mix is level with Cartoony alone and is level with Colorful alone.
Both: 48 games priced $10 to $20; 14.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $2,732.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 48 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cartoony + Colorful holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view421 of 426 launches | Without the breakout425 of 426 launches | Last 18 months230 of 426 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 42613 hits | 42113 hits | 42512 hits | 2306 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $304top tenth $6,842+ | $304 | $304 | $303 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -9.7%0.3 fewer in 100 | -16.1%0.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -0.3%$1 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cartoony and Colorful, 6 to 30 months old: 426 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 426 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Dungeon Rampage (17.8% of the money): 425 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 230 of 426.
Cartoony holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Cartoony | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,368 of 1,463 launches | Without the breakout1,462 of 1,463 launches | Last 18 months769 of 1,463 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,46352 hits | 1,36847 hits | 1,46251 hits | 76926 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $403top tenth $12,138+ | $404 | $403 | $364 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -5.6%0.2 fewer in 100 | -2.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | -5.6%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -9.7%$39 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cartoony, 6 to 30 months old: 1,463 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 95 of 1,463 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Another Crab's Treasure (23.1% of the money): 1,462 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 769 of 1,463.
Colorful holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Colorful | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,038 of 3,082 launches | Without the breakout3,081 of 3,082 launches | Last 18 months1,714 of 3,082 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,082134 hits | 3,038130 hits | 3,081133 hits | 1,71470 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $364top tenth $17,195+ | $364 | $364 | $303 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -4.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -16.8%$61 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Colorful, 6 to 30 months old: 3,082 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 44 of 3,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (10.0% of the money): 3,081 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,714 of 3,082.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cartoony + Colorful moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.