Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Cartoony + Casual
Games tagged both Cartoony and Casual: 786 indie paid launches, 14 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cartoony + Casual priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Cartoony and is about level with Casual; priced $10 to $20 it trails Cartoony and is about level with Casual.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cartoony + Casual trails Cartoony and is about level with Casual: 8.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 12.8 in 100 for Cartoony and 11.4 in 100 for Casual.
That is 1 in 12, about 0.5 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 59 games tagged both Cartoony and Casual priced $10 to $20. 8.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 16.2 in 100 for Cartoony-only games and 11.6 in 100 for Casual-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 59 games priced $10 to $20; 8.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 12), typical first-year earnings $2,086.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 59 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cartoony + Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view733 of 786 launches | Without the breakout785 of 786 launches | Last 18 months223 of 786 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 78614 hits | 73312 hits | 78513 hits | 2237 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.8 in 1001 in 56 | 1.6 in 1001 in 61 | 1.7 in 1001 in 60 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $250top tenth $4,461+ | $268 | $249 | $341 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -8.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -7.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | +76.2%1.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +7.2%$18 more | -0.4%$1 less | +36.4%$91 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cartoony and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 786 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 53 of 786 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, POPUCOM (12.4% of the money): 785 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 223 of 786.
Cartoony holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Cartoony | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,250 of 1,335 launches | Without the breakout1,334 of 1,335 launches | Last 18 months361 of 1,335 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,33545 hits | 1,25040 hits | 1,33444 hits | 36114 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.4 in 1001 in 30 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $316top tenth $10,773+ | $344 | $316 | $383 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -5.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | -2.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | +15.1%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +8.9%$28 more | 0.0%no change | +21.2%$67 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cartoony, 12 to 36 months old: 1,335 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 85 of 1,335 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Another Crab's Treasure (22.4% of the money): 1,334 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 361 of 1,335.
Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Casual | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view9,211 of 9,751 launches | Without the breakout9,750 of 9,751 launches | Last 18 months2,939 of 9,751 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 9,751259 hits | 9,211240 hits | 9,750258 hits | 2,939107 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.7 in 1001 in 38 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 3.6 in 1001 in 27 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $253top tenth $8,786+ | $257 | $253 | $230 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.4%no change | +37.1%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.6%$4 more | 0.0%no change | -9.1%$23 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,751 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 540 of 9,751 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.8% of the money): 9,750 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,939 of 9,751.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cartoony + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.