Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Cartoon + Point & Click
Cartoon + Point & Click
Games tagged both Cartoon and Point & Click: 112 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cartoon + Point & Click priced under $5. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced under $5 it is level with Cartoon and trails Point & Click.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cartoon + Point & Click is level with Cartoon and trails Point & Click: 0.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.4 in 100 for Cartoon and 0.7 in 100 for Point & Click.
That is about 0.0 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 73 games tagged both Cartoon and Point & Click priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.5 for Cartoon-only games and 0.7 for Point & Click-only games, so the mix is level with Cartoon alone and trails Point & Click alone.
Both: 73 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $161.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 73 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cartoon + Point & Click is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view109 of 112 launches | Without the breakout111 of 112 launches | Last 18 months54 of 112 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1123 hits | 1093 hits | 1112 hits | 541 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.7 in 1001 in 37 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 1.8 in 1001 in 56 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $202top tenth $12,173+ | $202 | $202 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +3.7%0.1 more in 100 | -33.3%0.9 fewer in 100 | -29.6%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cartoon and Point & Click, 6 to 30 months old: 112 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 112 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Organized Inside (29.2% of the money): 111 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 54 of 112.
Cartoon holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Cartoon | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view777 of 826 launches | Without the breakout825 of 826 launches | Last 18 months430 of 826 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 82628 hits | 77725 hits | 82527 hits | 43013 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $18,611+ | $303 | $303 | $282 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -5.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -11.8%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.9%$21 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cartoon, 6 to 30 months old: 826 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 49 of 826 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Starsand Island (21.2% of the money): 825 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 430 of 826.
Point & Click holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Point & Click | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,916 of 1,981 launches | Without the breakout1,980 of 1,981 launches | Last 18 months1,107 of 1,981 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,98182 hits | 1,91679 hits | 1,98081 hits | 1,10743 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $561top tenth $15,526+ | $566 | $561 | $485 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -4.9%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.9%$5 more | 0.0%no change | -13.5%$76 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Point & Click, 6 to 30 months old: 1,981 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 65 of 1,981 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Roottrees are Dead (8.9% of the money): 1,980 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,107 of 1,981.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cartoon + Point & Click moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.