Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Card Game + Casual
Games tagged both Card Game and Casual: 368 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Card Game + Casual priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Card Game and is about level with Casual; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Card Game and is too small to compare with Casual.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Card Game + Casual is too small to compare with Card Game and is too small to compare with Casual: 3 of its 44 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 18.9 in 100 for Card Game and 11.4 in 100 for Casual.
Small sample: 44 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 44 games tagged both Card Game and Casual priced $10 to $20. 3 of 44 of them earned $100k+, against 22.3 in 100 for Card Game-only games and 11.6 in 100 for Casual-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Card Game alone and is too small to compare with Casual alone.
Both: 44 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 44 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $2,240.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 44 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Card Game + Casual holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view319 of 368 launches | Without the breakout367 of 368 launches | Last 18 months119 of 368 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3686 hits | 3194 hits | 3675 hits | 1193 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.6 in 1001 in 61 | 4 of 319too few for a rate | 1.4 in 1001 in 73 | 3 of 119too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $152top tenth $7,763+ | $186 | $152 | $114 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -23.1%0.4 fewer in 100; too few to tell | -16.4%0.3 fewer in 100 | +54.6%0.9 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +22.4%$34 more | 0.0%no change | -25.0%$38 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Card Game and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 368 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 49 of 368 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Demonic Mahjong (25.9% of the money): 367 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 119 of 368.
Card Game holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Card Game | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view796 of 894 launches | Without the breakout893 of 894 launches | Last 18 months285 of 894 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 89457 hits | 79650 hits | 89356 hits | 28519 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $556top tenth $42,576+ | $638 | $548 | $670 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | +4.6%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +14.7%$82 more | -1.4%$8 less | +20.5%$114 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 894 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 98 of 894 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (30.4% of the money): 893 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 285 of 894.
Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Casual | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view9,211 of 9,751 launches | Without the breakout9,750 of 9,751 launches | Last 18 months2,939 of 9,751 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 9,751259 hits | 9,211240 hits | 9,750258 hits | 2,939107 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.7 in 1001 in 38 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 3.6 in 1001 in 27 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $253top tenth $8,786+ | $257 | $253 | $230 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.4%no change | +37.1%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.6%$4 more | 0.0%no change | -9.1%$23 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,751 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 540 of 9,751 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (3.8% of the money): 9,750 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,939 of 9,751.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Card Game + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.