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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / Capitalism + Sandbox

Niche

Capitalism + Sandbox

Games tagged both Capitalism and Sandbox: 44 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Capitalism + Sandbox priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Capitalism + Sandbox beats both its tags: 8 of its 16 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 27.5 in 100 for Capitalism and 30.7 in 100 for Sandbox.

Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures. Small sample: 16 launches, 8 hits.

3RDThird
Tag oneCapitalism
27.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds27.5 in 100
Typical earnings$22,359
Launches91 / 25 hits
Pair leads by22.5 in 100
1STWinner
This pairCapitalism + Sandbox
8 of 16launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds8 of 16 launches
Typical earnings$112,204
Launches16 / 8 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
2NDRunner-up
Tag twoSandbox
30.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds30.7 in 100
Typical earnings$26,551
Launches388 / 119 hits
Pair leads by19.3 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 2.5 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices44 in pairUnder $59: too few$5 to $1017 in pair$10 to $2016 in pair$20 to $402: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 16 games tagged both Capitalism and Sandbox priced $10 to $20. 50.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 22.7 for Capitalism-only games and 29.8 for Sandbox-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.

Both: 16 games priced $10 to $20; 50.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $112,204.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 16 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Waterpark Simulatorleads this pair56.5%
PairWaterpark Simulator56.5%
CapitalismTCG Card Shop Simulator49.2%
SandboxManor Lords22.6%
CheckOne game over half?yes
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Capitalism + Sandbox

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Waterpark Simulator earned 56.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 44 Capitalism + Sandbox launches.
  • Capitalism is led by TCG Card Shop Simulator, with 49.2% of its money.
  • Sandbox is led by Manor Lords, with 22.6% of its money.
  • One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Capitalism + Sandbox is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.

Capitalism + Sandbox through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view44 of 44 launchesWithout the breakout43 of 44 launchesLast 18 months22 of 44 launches
Launches counted4410 hits4410 hits439 hits224 hits
Earned $100k+22.7 in 10022.7 in 10020.9 in 10018.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$9,903top tenth $228,711+$9,903$7,286$7,286
Chance against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change-7.9%1.8 fewer in 100-19.8%4.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change-26.4%$2,617 less-26.4%$2,617 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsMoves the answerMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Capitalism and Sandbox, 6 to 30 months old: 44 launches.

Launches counted
4410 hits
Earned $100k+
22.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$9,903top tenth $228,711+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 44 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4410 hits
Earned $100k+
22.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$9,903
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Waterpark Simulator (56.5% of the money): 43 launches left.

Launches counted
439 hits
Earned $100k+
20.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$7,286
Chance against standard
-7.9%1.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-26.4%$2,617 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 22 of 44.

Launches counted
224 hits
Earned $100k+
18.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$7,286
Chance against standard
-19.8%4.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-26.4%$2,617 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Capitalism and Sandbox, 6 to 30 months old: 44 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 44 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Waterpark Simulator (56.5% of the money): 43 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 22 of 44.

Capitalism is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Capitalism through every lens, all prices
CapitalismBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view311 of 318 launchesWithout the breakout317 of 318 launchesLast 18 months201 of 318 launches
Launches counted31839 hits31139 hits31738 hits20124 hits
Earned $100k+12.3 in 10012.5 in 10012.0 in 10011.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$2,785top tenth $119,953+$2,630$2,630$1,920
Chance against standardthe yardstick+1.6%0.2 more in 100-2.4%0.3 fewer in 100-3.3%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-5.6%$155 less-5.6%$155 less-31.1%$865 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Capitalism, 6 to 30 months old: 318 launches.

Launches counted
31839 hits
Earned $100k+
12.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,785top tenth $119,953+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 318 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
31139 hits
Earned $100k+
12.5 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,630
Chance against standard
+1.6%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
-5.6%$155 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, TCG Card Shop Simulator (49.2% of the money): 317 launches left.

Launches counted
31738 hits
Earned $100k+
12.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$2,630
Chance against standard
-2.4%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-5.6%$155 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 201 of 318.

Launches counted
20124 hits
Earned $100k+
11.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,920
Chance against standard
-3.3%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-31.1%$865 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Capitalism, 6 to 30 months old: 318 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 318 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, TCG Card Shop Simulator (49.2% of the money): 317 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 201 of 318.

Sandbox holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Sandbox through every lens, all prices
SandboxBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,352 of 1,394 launchesWithout the breakout1,393 of 1,394 launchesLast 18 months822 of 1,394 launches
Launches counted1,394210 hits1,352198 hits1,393209 hits822109 hits
Earned $100k+15.1 in 10014.6 in 10015.0 in 10013.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$1,841top tenth $239,640+$1,840$1,841$1,618
Chance against standardthe yardstick-3.3%0.5 fewer in 100-0.7%0.1 fewer in 100-11.9%1.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-0.1%$1 less0.0%no change-12.1%$223 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 6 to 30 months old: 1,394 launches.

Launches counted
1,394210 hits
Earned $100k+
15.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,841top tenth $239,640+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,394 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,352198 hits
Earned $100k+
14.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,840
Chance against standard
-3.3%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.1%$1 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.6% of the money): 1,393 launches left.

Launches counted
1,393209 hits
Earned $100k+
15.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,841
Chance against standard
-0.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 822 of 1,394.

Launches counted
822109 hits
Earned $100k+
13.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,618
Chance against standard
-11.9%1.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-12.1%$223 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 6 to 30 months old: 1,394 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,394 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.6% of the money): 1,393 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 822 of 1,394.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Capitalism + Sandbox moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.