Niche

Bullet Hell + Top-Down

Games tagged both Bullet Hell and Top-Down: 249 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months Reset

Showing Bullet Hell + Top-Down priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Bullet Hell and is about level with Top-Down; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Bullet Hell and is too small to compare with Top-Down.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Bullet Hell + Top-Down is too small to compare with Bullet Hell and is too small to compare with Top-Down: 4 of its 13 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 19.8 in 100 for Bullet Hell and 17.5 in 100 for Top-Down.

Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures. Small sample: 13 launches, 4 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneBullet Hell

19.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds19.8 in 100

Typical earnings$10,479

Launches126 / 25 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairBullet Hell + Top-Down

4 of 13launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds4 of 13 launches

$1k+12 of 13 launches

$10k+9 of 13 launches

Launches13 / 4 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagTop-Down

17.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds17.5 in 100

Typical earnings$8,276

Launches189 / 33 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Top-Down is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices249 in pair Under $5164 in pair $5 to $1069 in pair $10 to $2013 in pair$20 to $403: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 13 games tagged both Bullet Hell and Top-Down priced $10 to $20. 4 of 13 of them earned $100k+, against 18.6 in 100 for Bullet Hell-only games and 16.5 in 100 for Top-Down-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Bullet Hell alone and is too small to compare with Top-Down alone.

Both: 13 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 13 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 12 of 13 launches · $10k+ 9 of 13 launches · $100k+ 4 of 13 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 13 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Deep Rock Galactic: Survivorleads this pair62.3%

PairDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor62.3%

Bullet HellDELTARUNE46.7%

Top-DownDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor21.2%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Bullet Hell + Top-Down

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor earned 62.3% of the estimated first-year money of the 249 Bullet Hell + Top-Down launches.
Bullet Hell is led by DELTARUNE, with 46.7% of its money.
It also leads Top-Down, with 21.2% of that tag's money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Bullet Hell + Top-Down is one-hit market +1: one game earned over half the money, and 1 more lens too.

Bullet Hell + Top-Down through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view235 of 249 launches	Without the breakout248 of 249 launches	Last 18 months59 of 249 launches
Launches counted	24910 hits	2358 hits	2489 hits	591 hits
Earned $100k+	4.0 in 1001 in 25	3.4 in 1001 in 29	3.6 in 1001 in 28	1 of 59too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$439top tenth $10,144+	$439	$439	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-15.2%0.6 fewer in 100	-9.6%0.4 fewer in 100	-57.8%2.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 249 launches.

Launches counted: 24910 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings: $439top tenth $10,144+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 14 of 249 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 2358 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $439
Chance against standard: -15.2%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (62.3% of the money): 248 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2489 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $439
Chance against standard: -9.6%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 59 of 249.

Launches counted: 591 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 59too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -57.8%2.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 249 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 14 of 249 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (62.3% of the money): 248 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 59 of 249.

Bullet Hell is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Bullet Hell through every lens, all prices
Bullet Hell	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,301 of 1,357 launches	Without the breakout1,356 of 1,357 launches	Last 18 months377 of 1,357 launches
Launches counted	1,35758 hits	1,30151 hits	1,35657 hits	37718 hits
Earned $100k+	4.3 in 1001 in 23	3.9 in 1001 in 26	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings	$477top tenth $24,691+	$503	$477	$536
Chance against standard	the base	-8.3%0.4 fewer in 100	-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100	+11.7%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.5%$26 more	0.0%no change	+12.4%$59 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,357 launches.

Launches counted: 1,35758 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings: $477top tenth $24,691+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 56 of 1,357 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,30151 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.9 in 1001 in 26
Typical first-year earnings: $503
Chance against standard: -8.3%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +5.5%$26 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (46.7% of the money): 1,356 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,35657 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $477
Chance against standard: -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 377 of 1,357.

Launches counted: 37718 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $536
Chance against standard: +11.7%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: +12.4%$59 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,357 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 56 of 1,357 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (46.7% of the money): 1,356 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 377 of 1,357.

Top-Down is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Top-Down through every lens, all prices
Top-Down	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,778 of 1,861 launches	Without the breakout1,860 of 1,861 launches	Last 18 months504 of 1,861 launches
Launches counted	1,86157 hits	1,77849 hits	1,86056 hits	50414 hits
Earned $100k+	3.1 in 1001 in 33	2.8 in 1001 in 36	3.0 in 1001 in 33	2.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings	$266top tenth $8,426+	$278	$266	$179
Chance against standard	the base	-10.0%0.3 fewer in 100	-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100	-9.3%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.5%$12 more	0.0%no change	-32.7%$87 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 1,861 launches.

Launches counted: 1,86157 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.1 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $266top tenth $8,426+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 83 of 1,861 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,77849 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings: $278
Chance against standard: -10.0%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +4.5%$12 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (21.2% of the money): 1,860 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,86056 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $266
Chance against standard: -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 504 of 1,861.

Launches counted: 50414 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings: $179
Chance against standard: -9.3%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -32.7%$87 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down, 12 to 36 months old: 1,861 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 83 of 1,861 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (21.2% of the money): 1,860 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 504 of 1,861.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Bullet Hell + Top-Down moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.