Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Bullet Hell + RPG
Bullet Hell + RPG
Games tagged both Bullet Hell and RPG: 183 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Bullet Hell + RPG priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Bullet Hell and trails RPG; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Bullet Hell and is too small to compare with RPG.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Bullet Hell + RPG is too small to compare with Bullet Hell and is too small to compare with RPG: 2 of its 16 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 17.5 in 100 for Bullet Hell and 17.6 in 100 for RPG.
Small sample: 16 launches, 2 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 16 games tagged both Bullet Hell and RPG priced $10 to $20. 2 of 16 of them earned $100k+, against 18.2 in 100 for Bullet Hell-only games and 17.7 in 100 for RPG-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Bullet Hell alone and is too small to compare with RPG alone.
Both: 16 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 16 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $10,116.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 16 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Bullet Hell + RPG is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view169 of 183 launches | Without the breakout182 of 183 launches | Last 18 months53 of 183 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1836 hits | 1695 hits | 1825 hits | 531 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.3 in 1001 in 31 | 3.0 in 1001 in 34 | 2.7 in 1001 in 36 | 1 of 53too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $751top tenth $24,934+ | $638 | $751 | $765 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -9.8%0.3 fewer in 100 | -16.2%0.5 fewer in 100 | -42.5%1.4 fewer in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | -15.0%$113 less | 0.0%no change | +1.9%$14 more; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 183 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 14 of 183 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (86.7% of the money): 182 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 53 of 183.
Bullet Hell is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Bullet Hell | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,303 of 1,359 launches | Without the breakout1,358 of 1,359 launches | Last 18 months377 of 1,359 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,35955 hits | 1,30348 hits | 1,35854 hits | 37715 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $501top tenth $22,489+ | $505 | $501 | $574 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -9.0%0.4 fewer in 100 | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.8%$4 more | 0.0%no change | +14.6%$73 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,359 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 56 of 1,359 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (44.0% of the money): 1,358 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 377 of 1,359.
RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,125 of 3,715 launches | Without the breakout3,714 of 3,715 launches | Last 18 months1,018 of 3,715 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,715270 hits | 3,125225 hits | 3,714269 hits | 1,01882 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $675top tenth $51,629+ | $729 | $675 | $859 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.3%no change | +10.8%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +8.0%$54 more | 0.0%no change | +27.3%$184 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Bullet Hell + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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