Niche

Bullet Hell + Retro

Games tagged both Bullet Hell and Retro: 70 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Bullet Hell + Retro priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Bullet Hell + Retro is too small to compare with Bullet Hell and is too small to compare with Retro: 1 of its 46 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1.1 in 100 for Bullet Hell and 1 of 735 launches for Retro.

Small sample: 46 launches, 1 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneBullet Hell

1.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 93

Typical earnings$229

Launches840 / 9 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairBullet Hell + Retro

1 of 46launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 46 launches

Typical earnings$253

Launches46 / 1 hits

Expected0.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagRetro

1 of 735launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 735 launches

Typical earnings$191

Launches735 / 1 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 219), typical $169, from 13,780 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Retro is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices70 in pair Under $546 in pair $5 to $1017 in pair$10 to $206: too few$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 46 games tagged both Bullet Hell and Retro priced under $5. 1 of 46 of them earned $100k+, against 1.0 in 100 for Bullet Hell-only games and 0 of 689 for Retro-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Bullet Hell alone and is too small to compare with Retro alone.

Both: 46 games priced under $5; 1 of 46 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $253.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 46 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

DEVIL BLADE REBOOTleads this pair42.2%

PairDEVIL BLADE REBOOT42.2%

Bullet HellDELTARUNE44.0%

RetroMouthwashing20.9%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Bullet Hell + Retro

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

DEVIL BLADE REBOOT earned 42.2% of the estimated first-year money of the 70 Bullet Hell + Retro launches.
Bullet Hell is led by DELTARUNE, with 44.0% of its money.
Retro is led by Mouthwashing, with 20.9% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Bullet Hell + Retro holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Bullet Hell + Retro through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view70 of 70 launches	Without the breakout69 of 70 launches	Last 18 months15 of 70 launches
Launches counted	702 hits	702 hits	691 hits	151 hits
Earned $100k+	2 of 70too few for a rate	2 of 70too few for a rate	1 of 69too few for a rate	1 of 15too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$480top tenth $5,974+	$480	$401	$266
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	-49.3%1.4 fewer in 100	+133.3%3.8 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	-16.5%$79 less	-44.6%$214 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and Retro, 12 to 36 months old: 70 launches.

Launches counted: 702 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 70too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $480top tenth $5,974+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 70 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 702 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 70too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $480
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, DEVIL BLADE REBOOT (42.2% of the money): 69 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 691 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 69too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $401
Chance against standard: -49.3%1.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -16.5%$79 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 15 of 70.

Launches counted: 151 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 15too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $266
Chance against standard: +133.3%3.8 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -44.6%$214 less; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and Retro, 12 to 36 months old: 70 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 70 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, DEVIL BLADE REBOOT (42.2% of the money): 69 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 15 of 70.

Bullet Hell is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Bullet Hell through every lens, all prices
Bullet Hell	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,303 of 1,359 launches	Without the breakout1,358 of 1,359 launches	Last 18 months377 of 1,359 launches
Launches counted	1,35955 hits	1,30348 hits	1,35854 hits	37715 hits
Earned $100k+	4.0 in 1001 in 25	3.7 in 1001 in 27	4.0 in 1001 in 25	4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings	$501top tenth $22,489+	$505	$501	$574
Chance against standard	the base	-9.0%0.4 fewer in 100	-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100	-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.8%$4 more	0.0%no change	+14.6%$73 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,359 launches.

Launches counted: 1,35955 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings: $501top tenth $22,489+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 56 of 1,359 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,30348 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.7 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings: $505
Chance against standard: -9.0%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +0.8%$4 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (44.0% of the money): 1,358 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,35854 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings: $501
Chance against standard: -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 377 of 1,359.

Launches counted: 37715 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings: $574
Chance against standard: -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +14.6%$73 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,359 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 56 of 1,359 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (44.0% of the money): 1,358 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 377 of 1,359.

Retro holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Retro through every lens, all prices
Retro	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,266 of 1,299 launches	Without the breakout1,298 of 1,299 launches	Last 18 months361 of 1,299 launches
Launches counted	1,29954 hits	1,26653 hits	1,29853 hits	36112 hits
Earned $100k+	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.1 in 1001 in 24	3.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings	$574top tenth $19,804+	$574	$574	$459
Chance against standard	the base	+0.7%no change	-1.8%0.1 fewer in 100	-20.0%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	-20.0%$115 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Retro, 12 to 36 months old: 1,299 launches.

Launches counted: 1,29954 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $574top tenth $19,804+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 33 of 1,299 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,26653 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $574
Chance against standard: +0.7%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (20.9% of the money): 1,298 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,29853 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.1 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $574
Chance against standard: -1.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 361 of 1,299.

Launches counted: 36112 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $459
Chance against standard: -20.0%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -20.0%$115 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Retro, 12 to 36 months old: 1,299 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 33 of 1,299 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (20.9% of the money): 1,298 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 361 of 1,299.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Bullet Hell + Retro moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.