Niche

Bullet Hell + Perma Death

Games tagged both Bullet Hell and Perma Death: 71 indie paid launches, 0 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Bullet Hell + Perma Death priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Bullet Hell + Perma Death is too small to compare with Bullet Hell and is too small to compare with Perma Death: 0 of its 48 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1.0 in 100 for Bullet Hell and 1 of 225 launches for Perma Death.

Small sample: 48 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneBullet Hell

1.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 105

Typical earnings$214

Launches839 / 8 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairBullet Hell + Perma Death

0 of 48launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 48 launches

$1k+23 in 100

$10k+2 of 48 launches

Launches48 / 0 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoPerma Death

1 of 225launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 225 launches

Typical earnings$157

Launches225 / 1 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 238), typical $158, from 13,785 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices71 in pair Under $548 in pair $5 to $1017 in pair$10 to $206: too few$20 to $40no launches

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 48 games tagged both Bullet Hell and Perma Death priced under $5. 0 of 48 of them earned $100k+, against 1.0 in 100 for Bullet Hell-only games and 1 of 177 for Perma Death-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Bullet Hell alone and is too small to compare with Perma Death alone.

Both: 48 games priced under $5; 0 of 48 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 23 in 100 · $10k+ 2 of 48 launches · $100k+ 0 of 48 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 48 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Slimekeepleads this pair23.1%

PairSlimekeep23.1%

Bullet HellDELTARUNE46.7%

Perma DeathVoid War18.0%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Bullet Hell + Perma Death

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Slimekeep earned 23.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 71 Bullet Hell + Perma Death launches.
Bullet Hell is led by DELTARUNE, with 46.7% of its money.
Perma Death is led by Void War, with 18.0% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Bullet Hell + Perma Death holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Bullet Hell + Perma Death through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view70 of 71 launches	Without the breakout70 of 71 launches	Last 18 months19 of 71 launches
Launches counted	710 hits	700 hits	700 hits	190 hits
Earned $100k+	0 of 71too few for a rate	0 of 70too few for a rate	0 of 70too few for a rate	0 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	7 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 44 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	0.0%no change	0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and Perma Death, 12 to 36 months old: 71 launches.

Launches counted: 710 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 71too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 7 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 44 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 71 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 700 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 70too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Slimekeep (23.1% of the money): 70 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 700 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 70too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 71.

Launches counted: 190 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Bullet Hell and Perma Death, 12 to 36 months old: 71 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 71 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Slimekeep (23.1% of the money): 70 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 71.

Bullet Hell is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Bullet Hell through every lens, all prices
Bullet Hell	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,301 of 1,357 launches	Without the breakout1,356 of 1,357 launches	Last 18 months377 of 1,357 launches
Launches counted	1,35758 hits	1,30151 hits	1,35657 hits	37718 hits
Earned $100k+	4.3 in 1001 in 23	3.9 in 1001 in 26	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings	$477top tenth $24,691+	$503	$477	$536
Chance against standard	the base	-8.3%0.4 fewer in 100	-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100	+11.7%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.5%$26 more	0.0%no change	+12.4%$59 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,357 launches.

Launches counted: 1,35758 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings: $477top tenth $24,691+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 56 of 1,357 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,30151 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.9 in 1001 in 26
Typical first-year earnings: $503
Chance against standard: -8.3%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +5.5%$26 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (46.7% of the money): 1,356 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,35657 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $477
Chance against standard: -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 377 of 1,357.

Launches counted: 37718 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $536
Chance against standard: +11.7%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: +12.4%$59 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,357 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 56 of 1,357 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (46.7% of the money): 1,356 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 377 of 1,357.

Perma Death is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Perma Death through every lens, all prices
Perma Death	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view378 of 394 launches	Without the breakout393 of 394 launches	Last 18 months116 of 394 launches
Launches counted	39419 hits	37816 hits	39318 hits	1166 hits
Earned $100k+	4.8 in 1001 in 21	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.6 in 1001 in 22	5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings	$517top tenth $15,694+	$634	$512	$446
Chance against standard	the base	-12.2%0.6 fewer in 100	-5.0%0.2 fewer in 100	+7.3%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+22.6%$117 more	-1.0%$5 less	-13.7%$71 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Perma Death, 12 to 36 months old: 394 launches.

Launches counted: 39419 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $517top tenth $15,694+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 394 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 37816 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $634
Chance against standard: -12.2%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +22.6%$117 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Void War (18.0% of the money): 393 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 39318 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.6 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings: $512
Chance against standard: -5.0%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.0%$5 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 116 of 394.

Launches counted: 1166 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $446
Chance against standard: +7.3%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: -13.7%$71 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Perma Death, 12 to 36 months old: 394 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 394 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Void War (18.0% of the money): 393 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 116 of 394.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Bullet Hell + Perma Death moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.