Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Board Game + Card Game
Board Game + Card Game
Games tagged both Board Game and Card Game: 119 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Board Game + Card Game priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Board Game and is about level with Card Game; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Board Game and is too small to compare with Card Game.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Board Game + Card Game is too small to compare with Board Game and is too small to compare with Card Game: 3 of its 25 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 12.4 in 100 for Board Game and 18.9 in 100 for Card Game.
Small sample: 25 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 25 games tagged both Board Game and Card Game priced $10 to $20. 3 of 25 of them earned $100k+, against 12.5 in 100 for Board Game-only games and 19.9 in 100 for Card Game-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Board Game alone and is too small to compare with Card Game alone.
Both: 25 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 25 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $5,458.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 25 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Board Game + Card Game holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view110 of 119 launches | Without the breakout118 of 119 launches | Last 18 months41 of 119 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 11910 hits | 11010 hits | 1189 hits | 415 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 12.2 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $564top tenth $50,585+ | $669 | $564 | $383 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +8.2%0.7 more in 100 | -9.2%0.8 fewer in 100 | +45.1%3.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +18.6%$105 more | 0.0%no change | -32.1%$181 less; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Board Game and Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 119 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 119 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, StarVaders (37.7% of the money): 118 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 41 of 119.
Board Game holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Board Game | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view584 of 626 launches | Without the breakout625 of 626 launches | Last 18 months187 of 626 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 62629 hits | 58429 hits | 62528 hits | 18710 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $188top tenth $13,380+ | $202 | $186 | $191 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +7.2%0.3 more in 100 | -3.3%0.2 fewer in 100 | +15.4%0.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +7.4%$14 more | -1.1%$2 less | +1.6%$3 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Board Game, 12 to 36 months old: 626 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 626 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, For The King II (27.3% of the money): 625 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 187 of 626.
Card Game holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Card Game | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view796 of 894 launches | Without the breakout893 of 894 launches | Last 18 months285 of 894 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 89457 hits | 79650 hits | 89356 hits | 28519 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $556top tenth $42,576+ | $638 | $548 | $670 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | +4.6%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +14.7%$82 more | -1.4%$8 less | +20.5%$114 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Card Game, 12 to 36 months old: 894 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 98 of 894 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (30.4% of the money): 893 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 285 of 894.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Board Game + Card Game moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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