Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Automation + Crafting
Automation + Crafting
Games tagged both Automation and Crafting: 82 indie paid launches, 17 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Automation + Crafting priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
31 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
85 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
31 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 31 games tagged both Automation and Crafting priced $10 to $20. 41.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 25.9 for Automation-only games and 27.5 for Crafting-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 31 games priced $10 to $20; 41.9 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $58,291.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 31 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Automation + Crafting is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view81 of 82 launches | Without the breakout81 of 82 launches | Last 18 months51 of 82 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 8217 hits | 8117 hits | 8116 hits | 519 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 20.7 in 100 | 21.0 in 100 | 19.8 in 100 | 17.6 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $9,342top tenth $929,505+ | $7,983 | $7,983 | $5,462 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.4%0.3 more in 100 | -4.3%0.9 fewer in 100 | -15.0%3.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -14.5%$1,359 less | -14.5%$1,359 less | -41.5%$3,880 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Automation and Crafting, 6 to 30 months old: 82 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 82 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (79.0% of the money): 81 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 51 of 82.
Automation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Automation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view391 of 409 launches | Without the breakout408 of 409 launches | Last 18 months266 of 409 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 40947 hits | 39146 hits | 40846 hits | 26625 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.5 in 100 | 11.8 in 100 | 11.3 in 100 | 9.4 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,695top tenth $114,689+ | $1,718 | $1,695 | $1,618 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.6%0.3 more in 100 | -1.7%0.2 fewer in 100 | -18.3%2.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +1.4%$23 more | 0.0%no change | -4.5%$77 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Automation, 6 to 30 months old: 409 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 409 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (70.4% of the money): 408 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 266 of 409.
Crafting holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Crafting | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view710 of 736 launches | Without the breakout735 of 736 launches | Last 18 months433 of 736 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 736114 hits | 710114 hits | 735113 hits | 43362 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.5 in 100 | 16.1 in 100 | 15.4 in 100 | 14.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,428top tenth $250,165+ | $2,448 | $2,428 | $2,023 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +3.9%0.6 more in 100 | -0.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -7.7%1.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.8%$20 more | 0.0%no change | -16.7%$405 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Crafting, 6 to 30 months old: 736 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 736 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (42.5% of the money): 735 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 433 of 736.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Automation + Crafting moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.