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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Arena Shooter + FPS

Niche

Arena Shooter + FPS

Games tagged both Arena Shooter and FPS: 140 indie paid launches, 7 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Arena Shooter + FPS priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Arena Shooter and trails FPS; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Arena Shooter and is too small to compare with FPS.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Arena Shooter + FPS is too small to compare with Arena Shooter and is too small to compare with FPS: 5 of its 25 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for Arena Shooter and 23.3 in 100 for FPS.

Small sample: 25 launches, 5 hits.

TIETied
14.3in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.3 in 100
Typical earnings$5,064
Launches56 / 8 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairArena Shooter + FPS
5 of 25launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds5 of 25 launches
Typical earnings$4,481
Launches25 / 5 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoFPS
23.3in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds23.3 in 100
Typical earnings$8,437
Launches219 / 51 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 25 games tagged both Arena Shooter and FPS priced $10 to $20. 5 of 25 of them earned $100k+, against 3 of 31 for Arena Shooter-only games and 23.7 in 100 for FPS-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Arena Shooter alone and is too small to compare with FPS alone.

Both: 25 games priced $10 to $20; 5 of 25 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $4,481.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 25 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Echo Point Novaleads this pair46.3%
PairEcho Point Nova46.3%
Arena ShooterDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor45.6%
FPSGray Zone Warfare20.6%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Arena Shooter + FPS

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Echo Point Nova earned 46.3% of the estimated first-year money of the 140 Arena Shooter + FPS launches.
  • Arena Shooter is led by Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor, with 45.6% of its money.
  • FPS is led by Gray Zone Warfare, with 20.6% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Arena Shooter + FPS holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Arena Shooter + FPS through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view139 of 140 launchesWithout the breakout139 of 140 launchesLast 18 months40 of 140 launches
Launches counted1407 hits1397 hits1396 hits400 hits
Earned $100k+5.0 in 1001 in 205.0 in 1001 in 204.3 in 1001 in 230 of 40too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$360top tenth $16,970+$360$354$535
Chance against standardthe base+0.7%no change-13.7%0.7 fewer in 100-100.0%5.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base0.0%no change-1.7%$6 less+48.6%$175 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Arena Shooter and FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 140 launches.

Launches counted
1407 hits
Earned $100k+
5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$360top tenth $16,970+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 140 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1397 hits
Earned $100k+
5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$360
Chance against standard
+0.7%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Echo Point Nova (46.3% of the money): 139 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1396 hits
Earned $100k+
4.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings
$354
Chance against standard
-13.7%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-1.7%$6 less
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 40 of 140.

Launches counted
400 hits
Earned $100k+
0 of 40too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$535
Chance against standard
-100.0%5.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+48.6%$175 more; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Arena Shooter and FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 140 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 140 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Echo Point Nova (46.3% of the money): 139 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 40 of 140.

Arena Shooter is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Arena Shooter through every lens, all prices
Arena ShooterBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view515 of 518 launchesWithout the breakout517 of 518 launchesLast 18 months130 of 518 launches
Launches counted51813 hits51512 hits51712 hits1301 hits
Earned $100k+2.5 in 1001 in 402.3 in 1001 in 432.3 in 1001 in 431 of 130too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$269top tenth $11,990+$269$268$306
Chance against standardthe base-7.2%0.2 fewer in 100-7.5%0.2 fewer in 100-69.3%1.7 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base0.0%no change-0.4%$1 less+13.8%$37 more
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Arena Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 518 launches.

Launches counted
51813 hits
Earned $100k+
2.5 in 1001 in 40
Typical first-year earnings
$269top tenth $11,990+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 518 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
51512 hits
Earned $100k+
2.3 in 1001 in 43
Typical first-year earnings
$269
Chance against standard
-7.2%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (45.6% of the money): 517 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
51712 hits
Earned $100k+
2.3 in 1001 in 43
Typical first-year earnings
$268
Chance against standard
-7.5%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.4%$1 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 130 of 518.

Launches counted
1301 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 130too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$306
Chance against standard
-69.3%1.7 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+13.8%$37 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Arena Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 518 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 518 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (45.6% of the money): 517 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 130 of 518.

FPS holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

FPS through every lens, all prices
FPSBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,259 of 1,295 launchesWithout the breakout1,294 of 1,295 launchesLast 18 months380 of 1,295 launches
Launches counted1,295105 hits1,259104 hits1,294104 hits38037 hits
Earned $100k+8.1 in 1001 in 128.3 in 1001 in 128.0 in 1001 in 129.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings$536top tenth $48,129+$545$536$630
Chance against standardthe base+1.9%0.2 more in 100-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100+20.1%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+1.7%$9 more0.0%no change+17.5%$94 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 1,295 launches.

Launches counted
1,295105 hits
Earned $100k+
8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$536top tenth $48,129+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 36 of 1,295 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,259104 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$545
Chance against standard
+1.9%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+1.7%$9 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (20.6% of the money): 1,294 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,294104 hits
Earned $100k+
8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$536
Chance against standard
-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 380 of 1,295.

Launches counted
38037 hits
Earned $100k+
9.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings
$630
Chance against standard
+20.1%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standard
+17.5%$94 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged FPS, 12 to 36 months old: 1,295 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 36 of 1,295 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (20.6% of the money): 1,294 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 380 of 1,295.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Arena Shooter + FPS moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.