Niche

Arena Shooter + Bullet Hell

Games tagged both Arena Shooter and Bullet Hell: 169 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Arena Shooter + Bullet Hell priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Arena Shooter and is about level with Bullet Hell; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Arena Shooter and is too small to compare with Bullet Hell.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Arena Shooter + Bullet Hell is too small to compare with Arena Shooter and is too small to compare with Bullet Hell: 3 of its 15 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 17.9 in 100 for Arena Shooter and 19.8 in 100 for Bullet Hell.

Small sample: 15 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneArena Shooter

17.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds17.9 in 100

$1k+68 in 100

$10k+38 in 100

Launches56 / 10 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairArena Shooter + Bullet Hell

3 of 15launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds3 of 15 launches

$1k+13 of 15 launches

$10k+8 of 15 launches

Launches15 / 3 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoBullet Hell

19.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds19.8 in 100

Typical earnings$10,479

Launches126 / 25 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices169 in pair Under $5112 in pair $5 to $1041 in pair $10 to $2015 in pair$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 15 games tagged both Arena Shooter and Bullet Hell priced $10 to $20. 3 of 15 of them earned $100k+, against 17.1 in 100 for Arena Shooter-only games and 19.8 in 100 for Bullet Hell-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Arena Shooter alone and is too small to compare with Bullet Hell alone.

Both: 15 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 15 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 13 of 15 launches · $10k+ 8 of 15 launches · $100k+ 3 of 15 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 15 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Deep Rock Galactic: Survivorleads this pair82.7%

PairDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor82.7%

Arena ShooterDeep Rock Galactic: Survivor46.8%

Bullet HellDELTARUNE46.7%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Arena Shooter + Bullet Hell

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor earned 82.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 169 Arena Shooter + Bullet Hell launches.
It also leads Arena Shooter, with 46.8% of that tag's money.
Bullet Hell is led by DELTARUNE, with 46.7% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Arena Shooter + Bullet Hell is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Arena Shooter + Bullet Hell through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view169 of 169 launches	Without the breakout168 of 169 launches	Last 18 months39 of 169 launches
Launches counted	1696 hits	1696 hits	1685 hits	391 hits
Earned $100k+	3.6 in 1001 in 28	3.6 in 1001 in 28	3.0 in 1001 in 34	1 of 39too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$525top tenth $28,120+	$525	$525	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change	-16.2%0.6 fewer in 100	-27.8%1.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Arena Shooter and Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 169 launches.

Launches counted: 1696 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $525top tenth $28,120+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 169 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1696 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $525
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (82.7% of the money): 168 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1685 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $525
Chance against standard: -16.2%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 39 of 169.

Launches counted: 391 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 39too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -27.8%1.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Arena Shooter and Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 169 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 169 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (82.7% of the money): 168 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 39 of 169.

Arena Shooter is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Arena Shooter through every lens, all prices
Arena Shooter	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view516 of 519 launches	Without the breakout518 of 519 launches	Last 18 months131 of 519 launches
Launches counted	51915 hits	51614 hits	51814 hits	1312 hits
Earned $100k+	2.9 in 1001 in 35	2.7 in 1001 in 37	2.7 in 1001 in 37	2 of 131too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$286top tenth $12,621+	$286	$286	$295
Chance against standard	the base	-6.1%0.2 fewer in 100	-6.5%0.2 fewer in 100	-47.2%1.4 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	+3.1%$9 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Arena Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 519 launches.

Launches counted: 51915 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.9 in 1001 in 35
Typical first-year earnings: $286top tenth $12,621+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 519 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 51614 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.7 in 1001 in 37
Typical first-year earnings: $286
Chance against standard: -6.1%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (46.8% of the money): 518 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 51814 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.7 in 1001 in 37
Typical first-year earnings: $286
Chance against standard: -6.5%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 131 of 519.

Launches counted: 1312 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 131too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $295
Chance against standard: -47.2%1.4 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +3.1%$9 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Arena Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 519 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 519 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor (46.8% of the money): 518 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 131 of 519.

Bullet Hell is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Bullet Hell through every lens, all prices
Bullet Hell	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,301 of 1,357 launches	Without the breakout1,356 of 1,357 launches	Last 18 months377 of 1,357 launches
Launches counted	1,35758 hits	1,30151 hits	1,35657 hits	37718 hits
Earned $100k+	4.3 in 1001 in 23	3.9 in 1001 in 26	4.2 in 1001 in 24	4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings	$477top tenth $24,691+	$503	$477	$536
Chance against standard	the base	-8.3%0.4 fewer in 100	-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100	+11.7%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.5%$26 more	0.0%no change	+12.4%$59 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,357 launches.

Launches counted: 1,35758 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings: $477top tenth $24,691+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 56 of 1,357 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,30151 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.9 in 1001 in 26
Typical first-year earnings: $503
Chance against standard: -8.3%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +5.5%$26 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (46.7% of the money): 1,356 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,35657 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $477
Chance against standard: -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 377 of 1,357.

Launches counted: 37718 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.8 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings: $536
Chance against standard: +11.7%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: +12.4%$59 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Bullet Hell, 12 to 36 months old: 1,357 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 56 of 1,357 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (46.7% of the money): 1,356 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 377 of 1,357.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Arena Shooter + Bullet Hell moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.