Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Arcade + Third Person
Arcade + Third Person
Games tagged both Arcade and Third Person: 248 indie paid launches, 7 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Arcade + Third Person priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with Arcade and trails Third Person; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Arcade + Third Person trails both its tags: 2 of its 24 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 10.7 in 100 for Arcade and 15.0 in 100 for Third Person.
Small sample: 24 launches, 2 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 24 games tagged both Arcade and Third Person priced $10 to $20. 8.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 10.8 for Arcade-only games and 15.7 for Third Person-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 24 games priced $10 to $20; 8.3 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 12), typical first-year earnings $5,767.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 24 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Arcade + Third Person is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view248 of 248 launches | Without the breakout247 of 248 launches | Last 18 months140 of 248 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2487 hits | 2487 hits | 2476 hits | 1406 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $202top tenth $10,017+ | $202 | $202 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -14.3%0.4 fewer in 100 | +53.6%1.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Third Person, 6 to 30 months old: 248 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 248 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Yooka-Replaylee (23.4% of the money): 247 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 140 of 248.
Arcade holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Arcade | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,022 of 4,045 launches | Without the breakout4,044 of 4,045 launches | Last 18 months2,226 of 4,045 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,04599 hits | 4,02297 hits | 4,04498 hits | 2,22657 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $243top tenth $8,098+ | $243 | $243 | $242 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +8.3%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -0.4%$1 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 6 to 30 months old: 4,045 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 4,045 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (25.5% of the money): 4,044 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,226 of 4,045.
Third Person holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Third Person | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,564 of 1,628 launches | Without the breakout1,627 of 1,628 launches | Last 18 months893 of 1,628 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,62893 hits | 1,56491 hits | 1,62792 hits | 89348 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $324top tenth $24,288+ | $364 | $324 | $304 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.8%0.1 more in 100 | 0.0%no change | -5.3%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +12.3%$40 more | 0.0%no change | -6.2%$20 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 6 to 30 months old: 1,628 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 64 of 1,628 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (13.7% of the money): 1,627 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 893 of 1,628.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Arcade + Third Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.