Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Arcade + Sports
Games tagged both Arcade and Sports: 281 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Arcade + Sports priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Arcade + Sports is about level with Arcade and is about level with Sports: 11.6 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 10.4 in 100 for Arcade and 9.2 in 100 for Sports.
That is about 0.7 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 43 games tagged both Arcade and Sports priced $10 to $20. 11.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 10.2 in 100 for Arcade-only games and 8.3 in 100 for Sports-only games, so the mix is about level with Arcade alone and beats Sports alone.
Both: 43 games priced $10 to $20; 11.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $6,894.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 43 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Arcade + Sports is one-hit market +1: one game earned over half the money, and 1 more lens too. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view280 of 281 launches | Without the breakout280 of 281 launches | Last 18 months88 of 281 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 28113 hits | 28013 hits | 28012 hits | 887 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $454top tenth $22,890+ | $459 | $454 | $460 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.4%no change | -7.4%0.3 fewer in 100 | +71.9%3.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.1%$5 more | 0.0%no change | +1.3%$6 more; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Sports, 12 to 36 months old: 281 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 281 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (76.9% of the money): 280 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 88 of 281.
Arcade is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Arcade | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,558 of 3,582 launches | Without the breakout3,581 of 3,582 launches | Last 18 months1,003 of 3,582 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,58281 hits | 3,55880 hits | 3,58180 hits | 1,00330 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.3 in 1001 in 44 | 2.2 in 1001 in 44 | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $229top tenth $7,485+ | $230 | $229 | $229 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.6%no change | -1.2%no change | +32.3%0.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.4%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,582 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 3,582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (32.2% of the money): 3,581 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,003 of 3,582.
Sports holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Sports | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view841 of 854 launches | Without the breakout853 of 854 launches | Last 18 months284 of 854 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 85440 hits | 84140 hits | 85339 hits | 28418 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.7 in 1001 in 21 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $766top tenth $28,832+ | $780 | $765 | $861 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.5%0.1 more in 100 | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +35.3%1.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.8%$14 more | -0.1%$1 less | +12.4%$95 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sports, 12 to 36 months old: 854 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 854 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (34.2% of the money): 853 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 284 of 854.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Arcade + Sports moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.