Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Arcade + RPG
Games tagged both Arcade and RPG: 143 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Arcade + RPG priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Arcade and trails RPG; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Arcade and is too small to compare with RPG.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Arcade + RPG is too small to compare with Arcade and is too small to compare with RPG: 3 of its 15 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 10.4 in 100 for Arcade and 17.6 in 100 for RPG.
Small sample: 15 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 15 games tagged both Arcade and RPG priced $10 to $20. 3 of 15 of them earned $100k+, against 10.0 in 100 for Arcade-only games and 17.5 in 100 for RPG-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Arcade alone and is too small to compare with RPG alone.
Both: 15 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 15 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $6,204.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 15 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split +1. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Arcade + RPG is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view139 of 143 launches | Without the breakout142 of 143 launches | Last 18 months39 of 143 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1436 hits | 1395 hits | 1425 hits | 391 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 | 3.5 in 1001 in 28 | 1 of 39too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $344top tenth $17,586+ | $344 | $344 | $287 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -14.3%0.6 fewer in 100 | -16.1%0.7 fewer in 100 | -38.9%1.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -16.6%$57 less; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 143 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 143 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, UFO 50 (57.2% of the money): 142 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 39 of 143.
Arcade is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Arcade | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,558 of 3,582 launches | Without the breakout3,581 of 3,582 launches | Last 18 months1,003 of 3,582 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,58281 hits | 3,55880 hits | 3,58180 hits | 1,00330 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.3 in 1001 in 44 | 2.2 in 1001 in 44 | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $229top tenth $7,485+ | $230 | $229 | $229 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.6%no change | -1.2%no change | +32.3%0.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.4%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,582 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 3,582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (32.2% of the money): 3,581 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,003 of 3,582.
RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,125 of 3,715 launches | Without the breakout3,714 of 3,715 launches | Last 18 months1,018 of 3,715 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,715270 hits | 3,125225 hits | 3,714269 hits | 1,01882 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $675top tenth $51,629+ | $729 | $675 | $859 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.3%no change | +10.8%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +8.0%$54 more | 0.0%no change | +27.3%$184 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Arcade + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.