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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Arcade + Puzzle

Niche

Arcade + Puzzle

Games tagged both Arcade and Puzzle: 518 indie paid launches, 7 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Arcade + Puzzle priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Arcade and is about level with Puzzle; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Arcade and is too small to compare with Puzzle.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Arcade + Puzzle is too small to compare with Arcade and is too small to compare with Puzzle: 2 of its 46 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 10.4 in 100 for Arcade and 12.4 in 100 for Puzzle.

Small sample: 46 launches, 2 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag oneArcade
10.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds10.4 in 100
Typical earnings$3,292
Launches346 / 36 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairArcade + Puzzle
2 of 46launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds2 of 46 launches
Typical earnings$1,264
Launches46 / 2 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoPuzzle
12.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds12.4 in 100
Typical earnings$3,798
Launches686 / 85 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 46 games tagged both Arcade and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 2 of 46 of them earned $100k+, against 11.3 in 100 for Arcade-only games and 13.0 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Arcade alone and is too small to compare with Puzzle alone.

Both: 46 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 46 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $1,264.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 46 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Drop Duchyleads this pair25.0%
PairDrop Duchy25.0%
ArcadeREMATCH32.2%
PuzzleBlue Prince7.2%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Arcade + Puzzle

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Drop Duchy earned 25.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 518 Arcade + Puzzle launches.
  • Arcade is led by REMATCH, with 32.2% of its money.
  • Puzzle is led by Blue Prince, with 7.2% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Arcade + Puzzle is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Arcade + Puzzle through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view516 of 518 launchesWithout the breakout517 of 518 launchesLast 18 months147 of 518 launches
Launches counted5187 hits5167 hits5176 hits1473 hits
Earned $100k+1.4 in 1001 in 741.4 in 1001 in 741.2 in 1001 in 863 of 147too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$219top tenth $3,624+$219$219$287
Chance against standardthe base+0.4%no change-14.1%0.2 fewer in 100+51.0%0.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base0.0%no change0.0%no change+31.1%$68 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 518 launches.

Launches counted
5187 hits
Earned $100k+
1.4 in 1001 in 74
Typical first-year earnings
$219top tenth $3,624+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 518 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
5167 hits
Earned $100k+
1.4 in 1001 in 74
Typical first-year earnings
$219
Chance against standard
+0.4%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Drop Duchy (25.0% of the money): 517 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
5176 hits
Earned $100k+
1.2 in 1001 in 86
Typical first-year earnings
$219
Chance against standard
-14.1%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 147 of 518.

Launches counted
1473 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 147too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$287
Chance against standard
+51.0%0.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+31.1%$68 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 518 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 518 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Drop Duchy (25.0% of the money): 517 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 147 of 518.

Arcade is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Arcade through every lens, all prices
ArcadeBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,558 of 3,582 launchesWithout the breakout3,581 of 3,582 launchesLast 18 months1,003 of 3,582 launches
Launches counted3,58281 hits3,55880 hits3,58180 hits1,00330 hits
Earned $100k+2.3 in 1001 in 442.2 in 1001 in 442.2 in 1001 in 453.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings$229top tenth $7,485+$230$229$229
Chance against standardthe base-0.6%no change-1.2%no change+32.3%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+0.4%$1 more0.0%no change0.0%no change
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,582 launches.

Launches counted
3,58281 hits
Earned $100k+
2.3 in 1001 in 44
Typical first-year earnings
$229top tenth $7,485+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 3,582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,55880 hits
Earned $100k+
2.2 in 1001 in 44
Typical first-year earnings
$230
Chance against standard
-0.6%no change
Typical against standard
+0.4%$1 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (32.2% of the money): 3,581 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
3,58180 hits
Earned $100k+
2.2 in 1001 in 45
Typical first-year earnings
$229
Chance against standard
-1.2%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,003 of 3,582.

Launches counted
1,00330 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings
$229
Chance against standard
+32.3%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 12 to 36 months old: 3,582 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 3,582 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (32.2% of the money): 3,581 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,003 of 3,582.

Puzzle is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Puzzle through every lens, all prices
PuzzleBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view5,057 of 5,257 launchesWithout the breakout5,256 of 5,257 launchesLast 18 months1,499 of 5,257 launches
Launches counted5,257163 hits5,057152 hits5,256162 hits1,49953 hits
Earned $100k+3.1 in 1001 in 323.0 in 1001 in 333.1 in 1001 in 323.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings$405top tenth $12,506+$421$405$402
Chance against standardthe base-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100-0.6%no change+14.0%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+4.0%$16 more0.0%no change-0.7%$3 less
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,257 launches.

Launches counted
5,257163 hits
Earned $100k+
3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings
$405top tenth $12,506+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 5,257 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
5,057152 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings
$421
Chance against standard
-3.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+4.0%$16 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.2% of the money): 5,256 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
5,256162 hits
Earned $100k+
3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings
$405
Chance against standard
-0.6%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,499 of 5,257.

Launches counted
1,49953 hits
Earned $100k+
3.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings
$402
Chance against standard
+14.0%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard
-0.7%$3 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,257 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 5,257 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.2% of the money): 5,256 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,499 of 5,257.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Arcade + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.