Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Arcade + Platformer
Arcade + Platformer
Games tagged both Arcade and Platformer: 545 indie paid launches, 8 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Arcade + Platformer priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Arcade + Platformer trails both its tags: 4.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 10.7 in 100 for Arcade and 16.6 in 100 for Platformer.
That is 1 in 21, about 0.3 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 43 games tagged both Arcade and Platformer priced $10 to $20. 4.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 11.4 for Arcade-only games and 18.4 for Platformer-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 43 games priced $10 to $20; 4.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 21), typical first-year earnings $2,429.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 43 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Arcade + Platformer holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view544 of 545 launches | Without the breakout544 of 545 launches | Last 18 months279 of 545 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5458 hits | 5448 hits | 5447 hits | 2794 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.5 in 1001 in 67 | 1.5 in 1001 in 67 | 1.3 in 1001 in 77 | 1.4 in 1001 in 71 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $242top tenth $5,558+ | $242 | $242 | $242 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -13.3%0.2 fewer in 100 | -6.7%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Arcade and Platformer, 6 to 30 months old: 545 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 545 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Yooka-Replaylee (18.5% of the money): 544 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 279 of 545.
Arcade holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Arcade | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,022 of 4,045 launches | Without the breakout4,044 of 4,045 launches | Last 18 months2,226 of 4,045 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,04599 hits | 4,02297 hits | 4,04498 hits | 2,22657 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $243top tenth $8,098+ | $243 | $243 | $242 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +8.3%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -0.4%$1 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 6 to 30 months old: 4,045 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 4,045 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (25.5% of the money): 4,044 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,226 of 4,045.
Platformer holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Platformer | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,538 of 2,585 launches | Without the breakout2,584 of 2,585 launches | Last 18 months1,343 of 2,585 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,585100 hits | 2,53892 hits | 2,58499 hits | 1,34349 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $321top tenth $13,152+ | $323 | $321 | $281 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -7.7%0.3 fewer in 100 | -2.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -7.7%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.6%$2 more | 0.0%no change | -12.5%$40 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Platformer, 6 to 30 months old: 2,585 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 2,585 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (59.3% of the money): 2,584 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,343 of 2,585.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Arcade + Platformer moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.