Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Adventure / Third-Person Shooter
Adventure + Third-Person Shooter: a typical launch earns $576 in its first year
That is the median of 74 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 9 of 161 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 10.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 31% on the year before: 117 against 89.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $576 median of 74 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +78.7% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 117 89 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 410 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,039 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 1.53%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.29% to 2.80% | 45 ranked of 411 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,130 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.88xhits against expected | 0.61x to 1.33x | 161 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #6,149 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +19%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −3% to +50% | 35 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #779 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +14%review growth against same-age games | +3% to +28% | 35 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #130 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 161
- Hit rate
- 5.6%2.9% to 8.8%
- Expected rate
- 6.6%
- Against expected
- 0.88x0.61x to 1.33x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
161 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $404
- Top tenth
- $11,949
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +31%
- Against Steam
- −4%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- AdventureNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Third-Person ShooterGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
Escape From Duckov (opens the Steam store)2025 · 83,945 reviews, 85% positiveest. $21M
METAL GEAR SOLID 3: Snake Eater - Master Collection Version (opens the Steam store)2023 · 5,458 reviews, 89% positiveest. $2.2M
MindsEye (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,864 reviews, 48% positiveest. $1.9M
METAL GEAR SOLID - Master Collection Version (opens the Steam store)2023 · 4,367 reviews, 84% positiveest. $1.8M
Voidling Bound (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,153 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.6M
METAL GEAR SOLID 4: Guns of the Patriots - Master Collection Version (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,565 reviews, 96% positiveest. $1.6M
METAL GEAR SOLID 2: Sons of Liberty - Master Collection Version (opens the Steam store)2023 · 3,580 reviews, 90% positiveest. $1.4M
POPUCOM (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,435 reviews, 87% positiveest. $891k
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
More with Third-Person Shooter
pairs with Third-Person Shooter- Third-Person Shooter + Exploration$55632 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Third-Person Shooter + Action-Adventure$48579 launches priced, 108 releases in 12 months
- Action + Third-Person Shooter$313198 launches priced, 284 releases in 12 months
- Third Person + Third-Person Shooter$303122 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
- Third-Person Shooter + 3D$303139 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Third-Person Shooter$283185 launches priced, 236 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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