Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Adventure + PvE: a typical launch earns $322 in its first year
That is the median of 83 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 176 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 48% on the year before: 164 against 111.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $322 median of 83 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −71.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 164 111 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 549 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,069 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 1.37%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.38% to 3.05% | 40 ranked of 550 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,174 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.76xhits against expected | 0.52x to 1.24x | 176 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,361 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −8%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −28% to +16% | 24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,690 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −1%review growth against same-age games | −10% to +11% | 24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #882 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 176
- Hit rate
- 2.8%0.6% to 5.3%
- Expected rate
- 4.3%
- Against expected
- 0.76x0.52x to 1.24x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
176 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $202
- Top tenth
- $16,583
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +48%
- Against Steam
- +8%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Soulmask (opens the Steam store)2026 · 18,501 reviews, 76% positiveest. $10M
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Splintered Fate (opens the Steam store)2024 · 4,164 reviews, 83% positiveest. $2.5M
- Voidling Bound (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,153 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.6M
- KLETKA (opens the Steam store)2024 · 6,410 reviews, 90% positiveest. $1.3M
- Ghost Janitors (opens the Steam store)2024 · 933 reviews, 87% positiveest. $189k
- Voodoo Fishin' (opens the Steam store)2026 · 811 reviews, 81% positiveest. $164k
- Gangs of Sherwood (opens the Steam store)2023 · 189 reviews, 38% positiveest. $153k
- Nocturne (opens the Steam store)2026 · 374 reviews, 99% positiveest. $151k
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
More with PvE
pairs with PvE- Co-op + PvE$16,63155 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Online Co-Op + PvE$5,26063 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Multiplayer + PvE$2,00370 launches priced, 120 releases in 12 months
- PvE + Deckbuilding$1,11233 launches priced, 40 releases in 12 months
- Dungeon Crawler + PvE$1,06262 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Hack and Slash + PvE$1,06166 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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