Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

Text size
Game Market DataSteam market, quoted daily
Live games
191,514
on 30 Sep 2026

Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Niches / Adventure / JRPG

Adventure + JRPG: a typical launch earns $865 in its first year

That is the median of 100 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 9 of 208 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 19.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 11% on the year before: 150 against 135.

  • Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
Price
$865
median of 100 launches
Price vs a year earlier
+13.1%
four quarters on the four before
Releases, 12 months
150
135 the year before
Upcoming games
483
coming soon on Steam
Games on the store
1,464
carrying both tags

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Adventure + JRPG on each board
BoardValueIntervalSampleStanding
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
  • One game dominates the figure
  • Listed after unflagged rows on this board
2.88%share of upcoming wishlist heat0.90% to 5.60%71 ranked of 484 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026#3,950 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
  • Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
0.53xhits against expected0.37x to 0.81x208 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)#5,495 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.+33%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam+5% to +62%87 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months#432 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.+10%review growth against same-age games+3% to +23%87 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025#315 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits
9
Expected
19.4
Launches
208
Hit rate
4.3%1.9% to 9.0%
Expected rate
9.3%
Against expected
0.53x0.37x to 0.81x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

208 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth
$17
Median
$1,031
Top tenth
$30,615

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months
150
Prior 12 months
135
Change
+11%
Against Steam
−18%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

  • AdventureNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
  • JRPGGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Adventure

pairs with Adventure
Every pair with Adventure

More with JRPG

pairs with JRPG
Every pair with JRPG

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.