Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Adventure / Exploration
Adventure + Exploration: a typical launch earns $847 in its first year
That is the median of 1,222 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 175 of 2,425 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 158.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 27% on the year before: 1,899 against 1,498.
- Price
- $847 median of 1,222 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −12.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 1,899 1,498 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 6,210 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 14,034 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 10.66%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 6.51% to 17.93% | 689 ranked of 6,211 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #14 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.10xhits against expected | 0.98x to 1.24x | 2,425 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,200 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +13%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +5% to +20% | 505 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #994 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +5%review growth against same-age games | +1% to +9% | 505 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #556 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 2,425
- Hit rate
- 7.3%6.1% to 10.0%
- Expected rate
- 6.5%
- Against expected
- 1.10x0.98x to 1.24x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
2,426 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $708
- Top tenth
- $50,505
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +27%
- Against Steam
- −6%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- AdventureNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- ExplorationNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Enshrouded (opens the Steam store)2024 · 93,740 reviews, 85% positiveest. $73M
- Subnautica 2 (opens the Steam store)2026 · 117,367 reviews, 91% positiveest. $69M
- PEAK (opens the Steam store)2025 · 304,996 reviews, 94% positiveest. $48M
- Escape From Duckov (opens the Steam store)2025 · 83,945 reviews, 85% positiveest. $21M
- Big Walk (opens the Steam store)2026 · 35,314 reviews, 96% positiveest. $14M
- Pacific Drive (opens the Steam store)2024 · 21,607 reviews, 83% positiveest. $13M
- RV There Yet? (opens the Steam store)2025 · 74,481 reviews, 90% positiveest. $12M
- Blue Prince (opens the Steam store)2025 · 17,606 reviews, 85% positiveest. $11M
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
More with Exploration
pairs with Exploration- Exploration + Cozy$24,01549 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Open World Survival Craft$13,97334 launches priced, 26 releases in 12 months
- Driving + Exploration$10,40830 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Multiplayer$8,00174 launches priced, 137 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Online Co-Op$7,08069 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Exploration$5,14762 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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