Niche

Action RPG + Simulation

Games tagged both Action RPG and Simulation: 87 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 100+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 100+ launches Reset

Showing Action RPG + Simulation priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is too small to compare with Action RPG and is too small to compare with Simulation; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

19 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

TIEA tie

Tag oneAction RPG

19.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds19.2 in 100

Typical earnings$7,717

Launches281 / 54 hits

Pairno reading

--No reading

This pairAction RPG + Simulation

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches19

19 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

TIEA tie

Tag twoSimulation

20.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds20.9 in 100

Typical earnings$11,548

Launches876 / 183 hits

Pairno reading

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices87 in pair Under $541 in pair $5 to $1021 in pair $10 to $2019 in pair$20 to $406: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 19 games tagged both Action RPG and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 2 of 19 of them earned $100k+, against 19.8 in 100 for Action RPG-only games and 21.1 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Action RPG alone and is too small to compare with Simulation alone.

Both: 19 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 19 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $2,987.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 19 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Heroes' Vow: Three Kingdomsleads this pair74.6%

PairHeroes' Vow: Three Kingdoms74.6%

Action RPGPath of Exile 235.1%

SimulationSchedule I17.6%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Action RPG + Simulation

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Heroes' Vow: Three Kingdoms earned 74.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 87 Action RPG + Simulation launches.
Action RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 35.1% of its money.
Simulation is led by Schedule I, with 17.6% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Action RPG + Simulation is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money.

Action RPG + Simulation through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view78 of 87 launches	Without the breakout86 of 87 launches	Last 18 months20 of 87 launches
Launches counted	872 hits	781 hits	861 hits	201 hits
Earned $100k+	2 of 87too few for a rate	1 of 78too few for a rate	1 of 86too few for a rate	1 of 20too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$404top tenth $21,485+	$478	$404	$607
Chance against standard	the base	-44.2%1.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell	-49.4%1.1 fewer in 100	+117.5%2.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+18.3%$74 more; too few to tell	0.0%no change	+50.2%$203 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Moves the answer	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Action RPG and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 87 launches.

Launches counted: 872 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 87too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $404top tenth $21,485+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 87 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 781 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 78too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $478
Chance against standard: -44.2%1.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +18.3%$74 more; too few to tell

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Heroes' Vow: Three Kingdoms (74.6% of the money): 86 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 861 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 86too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $404
Chance against standard: -49.4%1.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 20 of 87.

Launches counted: 201 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 20too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $607
Chance against standard: +117.5%2.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +50.2%$203 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Action RPG and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 87 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 9 of 87 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Heroes' Vow: Three Kingdoms (74.6% of the money): 86 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 20 of 87.

Action RPG is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.

Action RPG through every lens, all prices
Action RPG	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,240 of 1,346 launches	Without the breakout1,345 of 1,346 launches	Last 18 months330 of 1,346 launches
Launches counted	1,346100 hits	1,24087 hits	1,34599 hits	33023 hits
Earned $100k+	7.4 in 1001 in 13	7.0 in 1001 in 14	7.4 in 1001 in 14	7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$455top tenth $54,279+	$496	$426	$574
Chance against standard	the base	-5.6%0.4 fewer in 100	-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100	-6.2%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+9.0%$41 more	-6.4%$29 less	+26.2%$119 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Action RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 1,346 launches.

Launches counted: 1,346100 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.4 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $455top tenth $54,279+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 106 of 1,346 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,24087 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $496
Chance against standard: -5.6%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +9.0%$41 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (35.1% of the money): 1,345 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,34599 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $426
Chance against standard: -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -6.4%$29 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 330 of 1,346.

Launches counted: 33023 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $574
Chance against standard: -6.2%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +26.2%$119 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Action RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 1,346 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 106 of 1,346 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (35.1% of the money): 1,345 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 330 of 1,346.

Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Simulation through every lens, all prices
Simulation	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view4,193 of 4,444 launches	Without the breakout4,443 of 4,444 launches	Last 18 months1,387 of 4,444 launches
Launches counted	4,444370 hits	4,193351 hits	4,443369 hits	1,387117 hits
Earned $100k+	8.3 in 1001 in 12	8.4 in 1001 in 12	8.3 in 1001 in 12	8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings	$877top tenth $69,001+	$941	$876	$956
Chance against standard	the base	+0.5%no change	-0.2%no change	+1.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+7.3%$64 more	-0.1%$1 less	+9.0%$79 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,444 launches.

Launches counted: 4,444370 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $877top tenth $69,001+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,444 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 4,193351 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $941
Chance against standard: +0.5%no change
Typical against standard: +7.3%$64 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.6% of the money): 4,443 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 4,443369 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $876
Chance against standard: -0.2%no change
Typical against standard: -0.1%$1 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,387 of 4,444.

Launches counted: 1,387117 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $956
Chance against standard: +1.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +9.0%$79 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,444 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,444 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.6% of the money): 4,443 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,387 of 4,444.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Action RPG + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.