Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Action RPG + Open World
Action RPG + Open World
Games tagged both Action RPG and Open World: 126 indie paid launches, 20 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Action RPG + Open World priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Action RPG and is level with Open World; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Action RPG + Open World beats both its tags: 27.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 19.2 in 100 for Action RPG and 26.6 in 100 for Open World.
That is about 1.5 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 48 games tagged both Action RPG and Open World priced $10 to $20. 27.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.7 for Action RPG-only games and 26.6 for Open World-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 48 games priced $10 to $20; 27.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $8,803.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 48 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Action RPG + Open World is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view114 of 126 launches | Without the breakout125 of 126 launches | Last 18 months59 of 126 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 12620 hits | 11419 hits | 12519 hits | 594 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.9 in 100 | 16.7 in 100 | 15.2 in 100 | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,943top tenth $331,170+ | $2,125 | $1,801 | $1,943 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +5.0%0.8 more in 100 | -4.4%0.7 fewer in 100 | -57.2%9.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +9.4%$182 more | -7.3%$142 less | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Action RPG and Open World, 6 to 30 months old: 126 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 126 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, No Rest for the Wicked (71.8% of the money): 125 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 59 of 126.
Action RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Action RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,300 of 1,413 launches | Without the breakout1,412 of 1,413 launches | Last 18 months696 of 1,413 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,413109 hits | 1,30097 hits | 1,412108 hits | 69648 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 7.5 in 1001 in 13 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $485top tenth $62,308+ | $505 | $485 | $425 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -2.6%0.2 fewer in 100 | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -10.4%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$20 more | 0.0%no change | -12.4%$60 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Action RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 1,413 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 113 of 1,413 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (31.7% of the money): 1,412 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 696 of 1,413.
Open World holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Open World | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view877 of 926 launches | Without the breakout925 of 926 launches | Last 18 months474 of 926 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 926151 hits | 877142 hits | 925150 hits | 47471 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 16.3 in 100 | 16.2 in 100 | 16.2 in 100 | 15.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,103top tenth $336,387+ | $2,185 | $2,062 | $1,943 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -0.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -8.0%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.9%$82 more | -1.9%$41 less | -7.6%$160 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Open World, 6 to 30 months old: 926 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 49 of 926 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (28.6% of the money): 925 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 474 of 926.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Action RPG + Open World moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.