Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Action-Adventure + Sci-fi
Action-Adventure + Sci-fi
Games tagged both Action-Adventure and Sci-fi: 152 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Action-Adventure + Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Action-Adventure + Sci-fi trails both its tags: 9.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.2 in 100 for Action-Adventure and 15.2 in 100 for Sci-fi.
That is 1 in 11, about 0.5 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 43 games tagged both Action-Adventure and Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. 9.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.7 for Action-Adventure-only games and 16.3 for Sci-fi-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 43 games priced $10 to $20; 9.3 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 11), typical first-year earnings $2,894.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 43 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Action-Adventure + Sci-fi holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view150 of 152 launches | Without the breakout151 of 152 launches | Last 18 months82 of 152 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 15213 hits | 15013 hits | 15112 hits | 828 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 | 9.8 in 1001 in 10 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $809top tenth $48,802+ | $668 | $668 | $809 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.2%0.1 more in 100 | -8.1%0.7 fewer in 100 | +14.0%1.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -17.4%$141 less | -17.4%$141 less | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Action-Adventure and Sci-fi, 6 to 30 months old: 152 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 152 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Alters (64.4% of the money): 151 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 82 of 152.
Action-Adventure holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Action-Adventure | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,443 of 3,592 launches | Without the breakout3,591 of 3,592 launches | Last 18 months1,851 of 3,592 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,592194 hits | 3,443186 hits | 3,591193 hits | 1,85195 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $23,070+ | $405 | $404 | $363 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -5.6%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -10.1%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Action-Adventure, 6 to 30 months old: 3,592 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 149 of 3,592 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, AI LIMIT (7.3% of the money): 3,591 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,851 of 3,592.
Sci-fi holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Sci-fi | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,310 of 1,348 launches | Without the breakout1,347 of 1,348 launches | Last 18 months729 of 1,348 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,34899 hits | 1,31096 hits | 1,34798 hits | 72947 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $566top tenth $47,977+ | $546 | $561 | $485 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -12.3%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.5%$20 less | -0.9%$5 less | -14.3%$81 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 6 to 30 months old: 1,348 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 38 of 1,348 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (23.3% of the money): 1,347 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 729 of 1,348.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Action-Adventure + Sci-fi moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.