Niche

Abstract + Simulation

Games tagged both Abstract and Simulation: 52 indie paid launches, 0 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5 30+ launches Reset

Showing Abstract + Simulation priced under $5, hiding samples under 30 launches.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Abstract + Simulation is too small to compare with Abstract and is too small to compare with Simulation: 0 of its 33 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1 of 323 launches for Abstract and 1.1 in 100 for Simulation.

Small sample: 33 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagAbstract

1 of 323launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 323 launches

Typical earnings$172

Launches323 / 1 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairAbstract + Simulation

0 of 33launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 33 launches

Typical earnings$381

Launches33 / 0 hits

Expected0.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoSimulation

1.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 94

Typical earnings$229

Launches2,157 / 23 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 219), typical $169, from 13,780 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Abstract is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices52 in pair Under $533 in pair $5 to $1014 in pair$10 to $204: too few$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 33 games tagged both Abstract and Simulation priced under $5. 0 of 33 of them earned $100k+, against 1 of 290 for Abstract-only games and 1.1 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Abstract alone and is too small to compare with Simulation alone.

Both: 33 games priced under $5; 0 of 33 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $381.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 33 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Max Manosleads this pair25.8%

PairMax Manos25.8%

AbstractMycopunk23.1%

SimulationSchedule I17.6%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Abstract + Simulation

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Max Manos earned 25.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 52 Abstract + Simulation launches.
Abstract is led by Mycopunk, with 23.1% of its money.
Simulation is led by Schedule I, with 17.6% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Abstract + Simulation holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Abstract + Simulation through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view50 of 52 launches	Without the breakout51 of 52 launches	Last 18 months26 of 52 launches
Launches counted	520 hits	500 hits	510 hits	260 hits
Earned $100k+	0 of 52too few for a rate	0 of 50too few for a rate	0 of 51too few for a rate	0 of 26too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$648top tenth $5,944+	$674	$626	$804
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	0.0%no change	0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+4.0%$26 more; too few to tell	-3.4%$22 less	+24.1%$156 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Abstract and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 52 launches.

Launches counted: 520 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 52too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $648top tenth $5,944+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 52 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 500 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 50too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $674
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +4.0%$26 more; too few to tell

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Max Manos (25.8% of the money): 51 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 510 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 51too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $626
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: -3.4%$22 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 26 of 52.

Launches counted: 260 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 26too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $804
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +24.1%$156 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Abstract and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 52 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 52 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Max Manos (25.8% of the money): 51 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 26 of 52.

Abstract is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Abstract through every lens, all prices
Abstract	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view445 of 466 launches	Without the breakout465 of 466 launches	Last 18 months165 of 466 launches
Launches counted	4667 hits	4456 hits	4656 hits	1656 hits
Earned $100k+	1.5 in 1001 in 67	1.3 in 1001 in 74	1.3 in 1001 in 78	3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings	$381top tenth $5,927+	$383	$375	$574
Chance against standard	the base	-10.2%0.2 fewer in 100	-14.1%0.2 fewer in 100	+142.1%2.1 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.5%$2 more	-1.6%$6 less	+50.7%$193 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Abstract, 12 to 36 months old: 466 launches.

Launches counted: 4667 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.5 in 1001 in 67
Typical first-year earnings: $381top tenth $5,927+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 466 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 4456 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.3 in 1001 in 74
Typical first-year earnings: $383
Chance against standard: -10.2%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +0.5%$2 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Mycopunk (23.1% of the money): 465 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 4656 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.3 in 1001 in 78
Typical first-year earnings: $375
Chance against standard: -14.1%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.6%$6 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 165 of 466.

Launches counted: 1656 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $574
Chance against standard: +142.1%2.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +50.7%$193 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Abstract, 12 to 36 months old: 466 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 466 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Mycopunk (23.1% of the money): 465 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 165 of 466.

Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Simulation through every lens, all prices
Simulation	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view4,193 of 4,444 launches	Without the breakout4,443 of 4,444 launches	Last 18 months1,387 of 4,444 launches
Launches counted	4,444370 hits	4,193351 hits	4,443369 hits	1,387117 hits
Earned $100k+	8.3 in 1001 in 12	8.4 in 1001 in 12	8.3 in 1001 in 12	8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings	$877top tenth $69,001+	$941	$876	$956
Chance against standard	the base	+0.5%no change	-0.2%no change	+1.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+7.3%$64 more	-0.1%$1 less	+9.0%$79 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,444 launches.

Launches counted: 4,444370 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $877top tenth $69,001+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,444 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 4,193351 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $941
Chance against standard: +0.5%no change
Typical against standard: +7.3%$64 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.6% of the money): 4,443 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 4,443369 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $876
Chance against standard: -0.2%no change
Typical against standard: -0.1%$1 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,387 of 4,444.

Launches counted: 1,387117 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $956
Chance against standard: +1.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +9.0%$79 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,444 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,444 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.6% of the money): 4,443 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,387 of 4,444.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Abstract + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.