Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Abstract + Casual
Games tagged both Abstract and Casual: 275 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Abstract + Casual priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with Abstract and trails Casual; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Abstract + Casual beats both its tags: 3 of its 17 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for Abstract and 12.9 in 100 for Casual.
Small sample: 17 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 17 games tagged both Abstract and Casual priced $10 to $20. 17.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 12.5 for Abstract-only games and 12.8 for Casual-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 17 games priced $10 to $20; 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $5,099.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 17 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Abstract + Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view262 of 275 launches | Without the breakout274 of 275 launches | Last 18 months158 of 275 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2756 hits | 2625 hits | 2745 hits | 1585 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 | 1.8 in 1001 in 56 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $243top tenth $4,541+ | $243 | $243 | $261 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -13.6%0.3 fewer in 100 | -18.2%0.4 fewer in 100 | +45.5%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +7.4%$18 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Abstract and Casual, 6 to 30 months old: 275 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 275 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, LEGO® Voyagers (30.0% of the money): 274 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 158 of 275.
Abstract is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Abstract | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view468 of 492 launches | Without the breakout491 of 492 launches | Last 18 months290 of 492 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 49211 hits | 46810 hits | 49110 hits | 2909 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 | 2.1 in 1001 in 48 | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $424top tenth $8,210+ | $425 | $421 | $606 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -4.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -9.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | +40.9%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | -0.7%$3 less | +42.9%$182 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Abstract, 6 to 30 months old: 492 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 492 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mycopunk (19.3% of the money): 491 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 290 of 492.
Casual holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Casual | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view10,520 of 11,118 launches | Without the breakout11,117 of 11,118 launches | Last 18 months6,267 of 11,118 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 11,118317 hits | 10,520295 hits | 11,117316 hits | 6,267190 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $10,765+ | $303 | $303 | $282 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -3.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +3.4%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.9%$21 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 6 to 30 months old: 11,118 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 598 of 11,118 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (3.3% of the money): 11,117 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 6,267 of 11,118.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Abstract + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.