Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 3D Platformer + Physics
3D Platformer + Physics
Games tagged both 3D Platformer and Physics: 162 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D Platformer + Physics priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D Platformer + Physics trails both its tags: 1 of its 16 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 11.1 in 100 for 3D Platformer and 17.5 in 100 for Physics.
Small sample: 16 launches, 1 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 16 games tagged both 3D Platformer and Physics priced $10 to $20. 6.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 11.5 for 3D Platformer-only games and 18.6 for Physics-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 16 games priced $10 to $20; 6.3 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 16), typical first-year earnings $3,643.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 16 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D Platformer + Physics holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view160 of 162 launches | Without the breakout161 of 162 launches | Last 18 months78 of 162 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1624 hits | 1604 hits | 1613 hits | 782 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.5 in 1001 in 40 | 2.5 in 1001 in 40 | 1.9 in 1001 in 53 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $322top tenth $8,845+ | $323 | $303 | $324 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -24.0%0.6 fewer in 100 | +4.0%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.3%$1 more | -5.9%$19 less | +0.6%$2 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D Platformer and Physics, 6 to 30 months old: 162 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 162 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Carry The Glass (22.0% of the money): 161 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 78 of 162.
3D Platformer holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D Platformer | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,632 of 1,724 launches | Without the breakout1,723 of 1,724 launches | Last 18 months915 of 1,724 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,72460 hits | 1,63257 hits | 1,72359 hits | 91533 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $242top tenth $10,509+ | $242 | $242 | $223 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | +2.9%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -7.9%$19 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D Platformer, 6 to 30 months old: 1,724 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 92 of 1,724 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Another Crab's Treasure (15.8% of the money): 1,723 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 915 of 1,724.
Physics holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Physics | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,277 of 1,303 launches | Without the breakout1,302 of 1,303 launches | Last 18 months723 of 1,303 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,30384 hits | 1,27783 hits | 1,30283 hits | 72352 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $527top tenth $34,097+ | $564 | $527 | $606 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.6%0.1 more in 100 | 0.0%no change | +12.5%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.0%$37 more | 0.0%no change | +15.0%$79 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Physics, 6 to 30 months old: 1,303 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 1,303 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (29.2% of the money): 1,302 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 723 of 1,303.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D Platformer + Physics moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.