Niche

3D Platformer + Casual

Games tagged both 3D Platformer and Casual: 628 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing 3D Platformer + Casual priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 3D Platformer and is about level with Casual; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with 3D Platformer and is too small to compare with Casual.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

3D Platformer + Casual is too small to compare with 3D Platformer and is too small to compare with Casual: 0 of its 50 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 10.0 in 100 for 3D Platformer and 13.2 in 100 for Casual.

Small sample: 50 launches, 0 hits.

TIETied

Tag one3D Platformer

10.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds10.0 in 100

Typical earnings$3,562

Launches180 / 18 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pair3D Platformer + Casual

0 of 50launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 50 launches

$1k+56 in 100

$10k+22 in 100

Launches50 / 0 hits

Expected20.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagCasual

13.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds13.2 in 100

Typical earnings$3,966

Launches1,010 / 133 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Casual is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices628 in pair Under $5438 in pair $5 to $10125 in pair $10 to $2050 in pair $20 to $4015 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 50 games tagged both 3D Platformer and Casual priced $10 to $20. 0 of 50 of them earned $100k+, against 13.8 in 100 for 3D Platformer-only games and 13.9 in 100 for Casual-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 3D Platformer alone and is too small to compare with Casual alone.

Both: 50 games priced $10 to $20; 0 of 50 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 56 in 100 · $10k+ 22 in 100 · $100k+ 0 of 50 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 50 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Chained Togetherleads this pair51.7%

PairChained Together51.7%

3D PlatformerAnother Crab's Treasure14.6%

CasualHouse Flipper 24.1%

CheckOne game over half?yes

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 3D Platformer + Casual

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Chained Together earned 51.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 628 3D Platformer + Casual launches.
3D Platformer is led by Another Crab's Treasure, with 14.6% of its money.
Casual is led by House Flipper 2, with 4.1% of its money.
One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

3D Platformer + Casual is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.

3D Platformer + Casual through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view596 of 628 launches	Without the breakout627 of 628 launches	Last 18 months186 of 628 launches
Launches counted	6286 hits	5966 hits	6275 hits	1863 hits
Earned $100k+	1.0 in 1001 in 105	1.0 in 1001 in 99	0.8 in 1001 in 125	3 of 186too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$118top tenth $3,066+	$131	$117	$147
Chance against standard	the base	+5.4%0.1 more in 100	-16.5%0.2 fewer in 100	+68.8%0.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+11.0%$13 more	-0.8%$1 less	+24.6%$29 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D Platformer and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 628 launches.

Launches counted: 6286 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.0 in 1001 in 105
Typical first-year earnings: $118top tenth $3,066+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 628 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 5966 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.0 in 1001 in 99
Typical first-year earnings: $131
Chance against standard: +5.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +11.0%$13 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Chained Together (51.7% of the money): 627 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 6275 hits
Earned $100k+: 0.8 in 1001 in 125
Typical first-year earnings: $117
Chance against standard: -16.5%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.8%$1 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 186 of 628.

Launches counted: 1863 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 186too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $147
Chance against standard: +68.8%0.7 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +24.6%$29 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D Platformer and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 628 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 32 of 628 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Chained Together (51.7% of the money): 627 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 186 of 628.

3D Platformer holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

3D Platformer through every lens, all prices
3D Platformer	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,493 of 1,584 launches	Without the breakout1,583 of 1,584 launches	Last 18 months443 of 1,584 launches
Launches counted	1,58448 hits	1,49345 hits	1,58347 hits	44317 hits
Earned $100k+	3.0 in 1001 in 33	3.0 in 1001 in 33	3.0 in 1001 in 34	3.8 in 1001 in 26
Typical first-year earnings	$189top tenth $9,139+	$199	$189	$211
Chance against standard	the base	-0.5%no change	-2.0%0.1 fewer in 100	+26.6%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.3%$10 more	0.0%no change	+11.6%$22 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 3D Platformer, 12 to 36 months old: 1,584 launches.

Launches counted: 1,58448 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $189top tenth $9,139+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 91 of 1,584 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,49345 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings: $199
Chance against standard: -0.5%no change
Typical against standard: +5.3%$10 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Another Crab's Treasure (14.6% of the money): 1,583 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,58347 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $189
Chance against standard: -2.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 443 of 1,584.

Launches counted: 44317 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.8 in 1001 in 26
Typical first-year earnings: $211
Chance against standard: +26.6%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard: +11.6%$22 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged 3D Platformer, 12 to 36 months old: 1,584 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 91 of 1,584 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Another Crab's Treasure (14.6% of the money): 1,583 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 443 of 1,584.

Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual through every lens, all prices
Casual	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view9,216 of 9,755 launches	Without the breakout9,754 of 9,755 launches	Last 18 months2,936 of 9,755 launches
Launches counted	9,755291 hits	9,216272 hits	9,754290 hits	2,936122 hits
Earned $100k+	3.0 in 1001 in 34	3.0 in 1001 in 34	3.0 in 1001 in 34	4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings	$248top tenth $9,802+	$264	$248	$230
Chance against standard	the base	-1.1%no change	-0.3%no change	+39.3%1.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+6.5%$16 more	0.0%no change	-7.3%$18 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,755 launches.

Launches counted: 9,755291 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $248top tenth $9,802+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 539 of 9,755 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 9,216272 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $264
Chance against standard: -1.1%no change
Typical against standard: +6.5%$16 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (4.1% of the money): 9,754 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 9,754290 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $248
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,936 of 9,755.

Launches counted: 2,936122 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $230
Chance against standard: +39.3%1.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -7.3%$18 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,755 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 539 of 9,755 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (4.1% of the money): 9,754 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,936 of 9,755.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 3D Platformer + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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