Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 3D Fighter + Action
3D Fighter + Action
Games tagged both 3D Fighter and Action: 256 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D Fighter + Action priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D Fighter + Action trails both its tags: 5.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 8.7 in 100 for 3D Fighter and 17.3 in 100 for Action.
That is 1 in 18, about 0.3 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 35 games tagged both 3D Fighter and Action priced $10 to $20. 5.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 18.2 for 3D Fighter-only games and 17.6 for Action-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 35 games priced $10 to $20; 5.7 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 18), typical first-year earnings $810.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 35 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D Fighter + Action is audience-sensitive +1: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view243 of 256 launches | Without the breakout255 of 256 launches | Last 18 months149 of 256 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2563 hits | 2432 hits | 2552 hits | 1492 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.2 in 1001 in 83 | 0.8 in 1001 in 125 | 0.8 in 1001 in 125 | 1.3 in 1001 in 77 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $182top tenth $3,721+ | $202 | $162 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -33.3%0.4 fewer in 100 | -33.3%0.4 fewer in 100 | +8.3%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +11.0%$20 more | -11.0%$20 less | +11.0%$20 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D Fighter and Action, 6 to 30 months old: 256 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, 近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau (29.4% of the money): 255 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 149 of 256.
3D Fighter holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D Fighter | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view330 of 346 launches | Without the breakout345 of 346 launches | Last 18 months195 of 346 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3466 hits | 3305 hits | 3455 hits | 1954 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.7 in 1001 in 59 | 1.5 in 1001 in 67 | 1.4 in 1001 in 71 | 2.1 in 1001 in 48 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $202top tenth $5,060+ | $202 | $202 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -11.8%0.2 fewer in 100 | -17.6%0.3 fewer in 100 | +23.5%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D Fighter, 6 to 30 months old: 346 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 346 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Homura Hime (28.4% of the money): 345 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 195 of 346.
Action holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Action | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view8,493 of 8,722 launches | Without the breakout8,721 of 8,722 launches | Last 18 months4,715 of 8,722 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 8,722424 hits | 8,493408 hits | 8,721423 hits | 4,715222 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 4.7 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $21,119+ | $404 | $404 | $364 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -2.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -4.1%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -9.9%$40 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Action, 6 to 30 months old: 8,722 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 229 of 8,722 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (14.3% of the money): 8,721 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 4,715 of 8,722.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D Fighter + Action moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.