Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + War
Games tagged both 3D and War: 81 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + War priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 3D and trails War; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with 3D and is too small to compare with War.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + War is too small to compare with 3D and is too small to compare with War: 1 of its 15 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.6 in 100 for 3D and 16.9 in 100 for War.
Small sample: 15 launches, 1 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 15 games tagged both 3D and War priced $10 to $20. 1 of 15 of them earned $100k+, against 13.7 in 100 for 3D-only games and 20.5 in 100 for War-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 3D alone and is too small to compare with War alone.
Both: 15 games priced $10 to $20; 1 of 15 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $22,688.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 15 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + War is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view75 of 81 launches | Without the breakout80 of 81 launches | Last 18 months24 of 81 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 815 hits | 755 hits | 804 hits | 242 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 4 of 80too few for a rate | 2 of 24too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $383top tenth $29,738+ | $392 | $383 | $1,034 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +8.0%0.5 more in 100 | -19.0%1.2 fewer in 100 | +35.0%2.2 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +2.3%$9 more; too few to tell | 0.0%no change | +170.0%$651 more; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and War, 12 to 36 months old: 81 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 81 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tempest Rising (75.2% of the money): 80 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 24 of 81.
3D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,903 of 6,122 launches | Without the breakout6,121 of 6,122 launches | Last 18 months1,738 of 6,122 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,122236 hits | 5,903230 hits | 6,121235 hits | 1,73877 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $354top tenth $13,485+ | $375 | $354 | $383 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%no change | -0.4%no change | +14.9%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.9%$21 more | 0.0%no change | +8.2%$29 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,122 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,122 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (18.3% of the money): 6,121 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,738 of 6,122.
War holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| War | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view271 of 298 launches | Without the breakout297 of 298 launches | Last 18 months86 of 298 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 29832 hits | 27129 hits | 29731 hits | 8611 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.7 in 100 | 10.7 in 100 | 10.4 in 100 | 12.8 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,339top tenth $114,633+ | $1,383 | $1,255 | $1,532 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.3%no change | -2.8%0.3 fewer in 100 | +19.1%2.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.3%$44 more | -6.3%$84 less | +14.4%$193 more; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged War, 12 to 36 months old: 298 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 27 of 298 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tempest Rising (29.1% of the money): 297 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 86 of 298.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + War moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.