Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

3D + Walking Simulator: a typical launch earns $621 in its first year

That is the median of 385 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 17 of 769 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 16.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 13% on the year before: 516 against 455.

Price: $621
Price vs a year earlier: −32.2%
Releases, 12 months: 516
Upcoming games: 840
Games on the store: 2,607

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

3D + Walking Simulator on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.22%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.16% to 0.30%	50 ranked of 840 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#967 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.03xhits against expected	0.75x to 1.45x	769 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#2,588 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure	+20%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+5% to +38%	100 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#768 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	−1%review growth against same-age games	−10% to +8%	100 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#2,026 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 17
Expected: 16.4

Launches: 769
Hit rate: 2.2%1.8% to 3.4%
Expected rate: 2.1%
Against expected: 1.03x0.75x to 1.45x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

769 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $40
Median: $606
Top tenth: $10,832

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 516
Prior 12 months: 455

Change: +13%
Against Steam: −17%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

3DNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Walking SimulatorGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with 3D

pairs with 3D

3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months

Every pair with 3D

More with Walking Simulator

pairs with Walking Simulator

Thriller + Walking Simulator$4,18364 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
Cinematic + Walking Simulator$3,57532 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
Walking Simulator + Supernatural$3,23435 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Walking Simulator$2,627119 launches priced, 186 releases in 12 months
Realistic + Walking Simulator$2,122146 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
Mystery + Walking Simulator$2,02077 launches priced, 151 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Walking Simulator

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.