Niche

3D + Visual Novel

Games tagged both 3D and Visual Novel: 126 indie paid launches, 8 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing 3D + Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 3D and is about level with Visual Novel; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with 3D and is too small to compare with Visual Novel.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

3D + Visual Novel is too small to compare with 3D and is too small to compare with Visual Novel: 3 of its 19 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.6 in 100 for 3D and 12.7 in 100 for Visual Novel.

Small sample: 19 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tag3D

13.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds13.6 in 100

Typical earnings$4,471

Launches797 / 108 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pair3D + Visual Novel

3 of 19launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds3 of 19 launches

Typical earnings$568

Launches19 / 3 hits

Expected17.6 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoVisual Novel

12.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds12.7 in 100

Typical earnings$7,469

Launches434 / 55 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $203D is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices126 in pair Under $553 in pair $5 to $1043 in pair $10 to $2019 in pair $20 to $4011 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 19 games tagged both 3D and Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. 3 of 19 of them earned $100k+, against 13.5 in 100 for 3D-only games and 12.5 in 100 for Visual Novel-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 3D alone and is too small to compare with Visual Novel alone.

Both: 19 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 19 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $568.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 19 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

1000xRESISTleads this pair25.9%

Pair1000xRESIST25.9%

3DR.E.P.O.18.3%

Visual NovelSlay the Princess — The Pristine Cut6.8%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 3D + Visual Novel

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

1000xRESIST earned 25.9% of the estimated first-year money of the 126 3D + Visual Novel launches.
3D is led by R.E.P.O., with 18.3% of its money.
Visual Novel is led by Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut, with 6.8% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

3D + Visual Novel is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

3D + Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view122 of 126 launches	Without the breakout125 of 126 launches	Last 18 months35 of 126 launches
Launches counted	1268 hits	1228 hits	1257 hits	355 hits
Earned $100k+	6.3 in 1001 in 16	6.6 in 1001 in 15	5.6 in 1001 in 18	14.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$568top tenth $33,099+	$610	$524	$478
Chance against standard	the base	+3.3%0.2 more in 100	-11.8%0.7 fewer in 100	+125.0%7.9 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+7.4%$42 more	-7.7%$44 less	-15.8%$90 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 126 launches.

Launches counted: 1268 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $568top tenth $33,099+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 126 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1228 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $610
Chance against standard: +3.3%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +7.4%$42 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, 1000xRESIST (25.9% of the money): 125 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1257 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $524
Chance against standard: -11.8%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -7.7%$44 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 35 of 126.

Launches counted: 355 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $478
Chance against standard: +125.0%7.9 more in 100
Typical against standard: -15.8%$90 less; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 126 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 126 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, 1000xRESIST (25.9% of the money): 125 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 35 of 126.

3D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

3D through every lens, all prices
3D	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view5,903 of 6,122 launches	Without the breakout6,121 of 6,122 launches	Last 18 months1,738 of 6,122 launches
Launches counted	6,122236 hits	5,903230 hits	6,121235 hits	1,73877 hits
Earned $100k+	3.9 in 1001 in 26	3.9 in 1001 in 26	3.8 in 1001 in 26	4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings	$354top tenth $13,485+	$375	$354	$383
Chance against standard	the base	+1.1%no change	-0.4%no change	+14.9%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.9%$21 more	0.0%no change	+8.2%$29 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,122 launches.

Launches counted: 6,122236 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.9 in 1001 in 26
Typical first-year earnings: $354top tenth $13,485+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,122 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 5,903230 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.9 in 1001 in 26
Typical first-year earnings: $375
Chance against standard: +1.1%no change
Typical against standard: +5.9%$21 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (18.3% of the money): 6,121 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 6,121235 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.8 in 1001 in 26
Typical first-year earnings: $354
Chance against standard: -0.4%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,738 of 6,122.

Launches counted: 1,73877 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings: $383
Chance against standard: +14.9%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: +8.2%$29 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,122 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,122 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (18.3% of the money): 6,121 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,738 of 6,122.

Visual Novel is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
Visual Novel	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,641 of 1,872 launches	Without the breakout1,871 of 1,872 launches	Last 18 months534 of 1,872 launches
Launches counted	1,872112 hits	1,64182 hits	1,871111 hits	53436 hits
Earned $100k+	6.0 in 1001 in 17	5.0 in 1001 in 20	5.9 in 1001 in 17	6.7 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings	$1,427top tenth $48,379+	$1,408	$1,424	$1,530
Chance against standard	the base	-16.5%1.0 fewer in 100	-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100	+12.7%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-1.3%$19 less	-0.2%$3 less	+7.2%$103 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 1,872 launches.

Launches counted: 1,872112 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $1,427top tenth $48,379+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 231 of 1,872 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,64182 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $1,408
Chance against standard: -16.5%1.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.3%$19 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut (6.8% of the money): 1,871 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,871111 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $1,424
Chance against standard: -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.2%$3 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 534 of 1,872.

Launches counted: 53436 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.7 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $1,530
Chance against standard: +12.7%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard: +7.2%$103 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 1,872 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 231 of 1,872 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut (6.8% of the money): 1,871 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 534 of 1,872.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 3D + Visual Novel moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.