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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / 3D + RPG

Niche

3D + RPG

Games tagged both 3D and RPG: 638 indie paid launches, 29 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing 3D + RPG priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with 3D and trails RPG; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

3D + RPG trails both its tags: 11.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for 3D and 18.5 in 100 for RPG.

That is about 0.6 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

2NDRunner-up
Tag onemood tag3D
14.3in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.3 in 100
Typical earnings$4,735
Launches913 / 131 hits
Pair trails by3.3 in 100
3RDThird
This pair3D + RPG
11.0in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds11.0 in 100
Typical earnings$3,643
Launches118 / 13 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
1STWinner
Tag twoRPG
18.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds18.5 in 100
Typical earnings$10,017
Launches881 / 163 hits
Pair trails by7.5 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $203D is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 118 games tagged both 3D and RPG priced $10 to $20. 11.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.8 for 3D-only games and 19.7 for RPG-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.

Both: 118 games priced $10 to $20; 11.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $3,643.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 118 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Pantheon: Rise of the Fallenleads this pair18.6%
PairPantheon: Rise of the Fallen18.6%
3DR.E.P.O.17.8%
RPGPath of Exile 216.6%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 3D + RPG

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Pantheon: Rise of the Fallen earned 18.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 638 3D + RPG launches.
  • 3D is led by R.E.P.O., with 17.8% of its money.
  • RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 16.6% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

3D + RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

3D + RPG through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view557 of 638 launchesWithout the breakout637 of 638 launchesLast 18 months332 of 638 launches
Launches counted63829 hits55728 hits63728 hits33212 hits
Earned $100k+4.5 in 1001 in 225.0 in 1001 in 204.4 in 1001 in 233.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings$303top tenth $21,760+$364$303$303
Chance against standardthe yardstick+11.1%0.5 more in 100-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100-20.0%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+20.1%$61 more0.0%no change0.0%no change
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 638 launches.

Launches counted
63829 hits
Earned $100k+
4.5 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings
$303top tenth $21,760+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 81 of 638 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
55728 hits
Earned $100k+
5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$364
Chance against standard
+11.1%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard
+20.1%$61 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Pantheon: Rise of the Fallen (18.6% of the money): 637 launches left.

Launches counted
63728 hits
Earned $100k+
4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings
$303
Chance against standard
-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 332 of 638.

Launches counted
33212 hits
Earned $100k+
3.6 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings
$303
Chance against standard
-20.0%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 638 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 81 of 638 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Pantheon: Rise of the Fallen (18.6% of the money): 637 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 332 of 638.

3D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

3D through every lens, all prices
3DBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view6,601 of 6,819 launchesWithout the breakout6,818 of 6,819 launchesLast 18 months3,701 of 6,819 launches
Launches counted6,819286 hits6,601279 hits6,818285 hits3,701152 hits
Earned $100k+4.2 in 1001 in 244.2 in 1001 in 244.2 in 1001 in 244.1 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings$404top tenth $16,029+$405$404$404
Chance against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change-2.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+0.2%$1 more0.0%no change0.0%no change
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.

Launches counted
6,819286 hits
Earned $100k+
4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings
$404top tenth $16,029+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
6,601279 hits
Earned $100k+
4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings
$405
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
+0.2%$1 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.

Launches counted
6,818285 hits
Earned $100k+
4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings
$404
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.

Launches counted
3,701152 hits
Earned $100k+
4.1 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings
$404
Chance against standard
-2.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.

RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

RPG through every lens, all prices
RPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,513 of 4,151 launchesWithout the breakout4,150 of 4,151 launchesLast 18 months2,257 of 4,151 launches
Launches counted4,151319 hits3,513268 hits4,150318 hits2,257162 hits
Earned $100k+7.7 in 1001 in 137.6 in 1001 in 137.7 in 1001 in 137.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$708top tenth $62,744+$728$708$607
Chance against standardthe yardstick-1.3%0.1 fewer in 1000.0%no change-6.5%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+2.8%$20 more0.0%no change-14.3%$101 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.

Launches counted
4,151319 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$708top tenth $62,744+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,513268 hits
Earned $100k+
7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$728
Chance against standard
-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+2.8%$20 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.

Launches counted
4,150318 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$708
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.

Launches counted
2,257162 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$607
Chance against standard
-6.5%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-14.3%$101 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 3D + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.