Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 3D + Platformer
3D + Platformer
Games tagged both 3D and Platformer: 514 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Platformer priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Platformer trails both its tags: 7.6 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for 3D and 16.6 in 100 for Platformer.
That is 1 in 13, about 0.4 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 66 games tagged both 3D and Platformer priced $10 to $20. 7.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.9 for 3D-only games and 18.8 for Platformer-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 66 games priced $10 to $20; 7.6 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 13), typical first-year earnings $2,429.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 66 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Platformer is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view506 of 514 launches | Without the breakout513 of 514 launches | Last 18 months262 of 514 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 51412 hits | 50611 hits | 51311 hits | 2628 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.3 in 1001 in 43 | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 | 2.1 in 1001 in 48 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $242top tenth $6,678+ | $242 | $242 | $242 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -4.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -8.7%0.2 fewer in 100 | +34.8%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Platformer, 6 to 30 months old: 514 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 514 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, POPUCOM (17.2% of the money): 513 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 262 of 514.
3D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view6,601 of 6,819 launches | Without the breakout6,818 of 6,819 launches | Last 18 months3,701 of 6,819 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,819286 hits | 6,601279 hits | 6,818285 hits | 3,701152 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $16,029+ | $405 | $404 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.
Platformer holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Platformer | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,538 of 2,585 launches | Without the breakout2,584 of 2,585 launches | Last 18 months1,343 of 2,585 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,585100 hits | 2,53892 hits | 2,58499 hits | 1,34349 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $321top tenth $13,152+ | $323 | $321 | $281 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -7.7%0.3 fewer in 100 | -2.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -7.7%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.6%$2 more | 0.0%no change | -12.5%$40 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Platformer, 6 to 30 months old: 2,585 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 2,585 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (59.3% of the money): 2,584 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,343 of 2,585.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Platformer moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.