Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + Physics
Games tagged both 3D and Physics: 327 indie paid launches, 19 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Physics priced $10 to $20, west-facing view. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 3D and is about level with Physics; priced $10 to $20 it beats 3D and is about level with Physics.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Physics beats 3D and is about level with Physics: 26.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.3 in 100 for 3D and 24.4 in 100 for Physics.
That is about 1.3 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 38 games tagged both 3D and Physics priced $10 to $20. 26.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.8 in 100 for 3D-only games and 23.8 in 100 for Physics-only games, so the mix beats 3D alone and is about level with Physics alone.
Both: 38 games priced $10 to $20; 26.3 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 74 in 100 · $10k+ 55 in 100 · $100k+ 26 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 38 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The west-facing view lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Physics holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view319 of 327 launches | Without the breakout326 of 327 launches | Last 18 months89 of 327 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 32719 hits | 31919 hits | 32618 hits | 896 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $199top tenth $19,128+ | $199 | $199 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.5%0.1 more in 100 | -5.0%0.3 fewer in 100 | +16.0%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Physics, 12 to 36 months old: 327 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 327 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (49.2% of the money): 326 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 89 of 327.
3D is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,910 of 6,129 launches | Without the breakout6,128 of 6,129 launches | Last 18 months1,744 of 6,129 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,129266 hits | 5,910260 hits | 6,128265 hits | 1,74490 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $351top tenth $15,677+ | $365 | $351 | $421 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.4%0.1 more in 100 | -0.4%no change | +18.9%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.0%$14 more | 0.0%no change | +19.9%$70 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,129 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,129 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (16.5% of the money): 6,128 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,744 of 6,129.
Physics is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Physics | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,121 of 1,142 launches | Without the breakout1,141 of 1,142 launches | Last 18 months311 of 1,142 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,14275 hits | 1,12174 hits | 1,14174 hits | 31128 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $398top tenth $32,284+ | $414 | $398 | $465 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.5%no change | -1.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | +37.1%2.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.0%$16 more | 0.0%no change | +16.8%$67 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Physics, 12 to 36 months old: 1,142 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 1,142 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (32.0% of the money): 1,141 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 311 of 1,142.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Physics moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.