Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 3D + Open World
3D + Open World
Games tagged both 3D and Open World: 219 indie paid launches, 30 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Open World priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats 3D and trails Open World; priced $10 to $20 it beats 3D and is about level with Open World.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Open World beats 3D and is about level with Open World: 30.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.6 in 100 for 3D and 27.8 in 100 for Open World.
That is about 1.7 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 43 games tagged both 3D and Open World priced $10 to $20. 30.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 12.6 in 100 for 3D-only games and 27.3 in 100 for Open World-only games, so the mix beats 3D alone and is about level with Open World alone.
Both: 43 games priced $10 to $20; 30.2 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $7,792.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 43 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Open World holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view212 of 219 launches | Without the breakout218 of 219 launches | Last 18 months61 of 219 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 21930 hits | 21230 hits | 21829 hits | 618 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 13.7 in 100 | 14.2 in 100 | 13.3 in 100 | 13.1 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $627top tenth $218,232+ | $675 | $627 | $573 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.3%0.5 more in 100 | -2.9%0.4 fewer in 100 | -4.3%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +7.7%$48 more | 0.0%no change | -8.6%$54 less; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Open World, 12 to 36 months old: 219 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 219 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Precinct (14.7% of the money): 218 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 61 of 219.
3D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,903 of 6,122 launches | Without the breakout6,121 of 6,122 launches | Last 18 months1,738 of 6,122 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,122236 hits | 5,903230 hits | 6,121235 hits | 1,73877 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $354top tenth $13,485+ | $375 | $354 | $383 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%no change | -0.4%no change | +14.9%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.9%$21 more | 0.0%no change | +8.2%$29 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,122 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,122 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (18.3% of the money): 6,121 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,738 of 6,122.
Open World holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Open World | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view819 of 861 launches | Without the breakout860 of 861 launches | Last 18 months222 of 861 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 861153 hits | 819146 hits | 860152 hits | 22239 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 17.8 in 100 | 17.8 in 100 | 17.7 in 100 | 17.6 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,856top tenth $355,406+ | $1,914 | $1,856 | $2,317 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.3%0.1 more in 100 | -0.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.1%$58 more | 0.0%no change | +24.8%$461 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Open World, 12 to 36 months old: 861 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 861 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (31.1% of the money): 860 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 222 of 861.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Open World moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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