Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / 3D / Farming Sim
3D + Farming Sim: a typical launch earns $405 in its first year
That is the median of 37 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 9 of 66 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 4% on the year before: 43 against 45.
- Price
- $405 median of 37 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −63.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 43 45 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 191 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 374 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.05% to 0.11% | 15 ranked of 191 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,008 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.19xhits against expected | 0.83x to 1.74x | 66 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,815 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 66
- Hit rate
- 13.6%7.1% to 22.6%
- Expected rate
- 10.8%
- Against expected
- 1.19x0.83x to 1.74x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
66 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $859
- Top tenth
- $133,553
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −4%
Parent tags
- 3DNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Farming SimGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Farming Simulator 25 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 40,166 reviews, 87% positiveest. $24M
- Tales of the Shire: A The Lord of The Rings™ Game (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,251 reviews, 81% positiveest. $2.3M
- Wanderstop (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,949 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.5M
- Ooblets (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,389 reviews, 91% positiveest. $844k
- Pathless Woods (opens the Steam store)2024 · 958 reviews, 79% positiveest. $388k
- Unbridled: That Horse Game (opens the Steam store)2025 · 490 reviews, 85% positiveest. $248k
- Cinnabunny (opens the Steam store)2025 · 403 reviews, 96% positiveest. $204k
- Mamon King (opens the Steam store)2025 · 604 reviews, 90% positiveest. $159k
More with 3D
pairs with 3D- 3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
More with Farming Sim
pairs with Farming Sim- RPG + Farming Sim$8,78948 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Farming Sim$7,47734 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Life Sim + Farming Sim$7,28161 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
- Building + Farming Sim$3,88535 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Management + Farming Sim$3,64143 launches priced, 63 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Farming Sim$3,23739 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.