Niche

Exploration + Farming Sim

Games tagged both Exploration and Farming Sim: 72 indie paid launches, 18 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Exploration + Farming Sim priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Exploration and is too small to compare with Farming Sim.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Exploration + Farming Sim is too small to compare with Exploration and is too small to compare with Farming Sim: 12 of its 29 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.6 in 100 for Exploration and 26.7 in 100 for Farming Sim.

Small sample: 29 launches, 12 hits.

TIETied

Tag onemood tagExploration

20.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds20.6 in 100

Typical earnings$12,769

Launches880 / 181 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairExploration + Farming Sim

12 of 29launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds12 of 29 launches

$1k+25 of 29 launches

$10k+20 of 29 launches

Launches29 / 12 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoFarming Sim

26.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds26.7 in 100

$1k+88 in 100

$10k+72 in 100

Launches86 / 23 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2.5 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Exploration is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices72 in pair Under $518 in pair $5 to $1018 in pair $10 to $2029 in pair$20 to $407: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 29 games tagged both Exploration and Farming Sim priced $10 to $20. 12 of 29 of them earned $100k+, against 19.9 in 100 for Exploration-only games and 19.3 in 100 for Farming Sim-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Exploration alone and is too small to compare with Farming Sim alone.

Both: 29 games priced $10 to $20; 12 of 29 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 25 of 29 launches · $10k+ 20 of 29 launches · $100k+ 12 of 29 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 29 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Luma Islandleads this pair33.4%

PairLuma Island33.4%

ExplorationHollow Knight: Silksong23.3%

Farming SimFarming Simulator 2533.8%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Exploration + Farming Sim

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Luma Island earned 33.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 72 Exploration + Farming Sim launches.
Exploration is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 23.3% of its money.
Farming Sim is led by Farming Simulator 25, with 33.8% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Exploration + Farming Sim holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Exploration + Farming Sim through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view67 of 72 launches	Without the breakout71 of 72 launches	Last 18 months18 of 72 launches
Launches counted	7218 hits	6717 hits	7117 hits	184 hits
Earned $100k+	25.0 in 100	25.4 in 100	23.9 in 100	4 of 18too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	42 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 63 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+1.5%0.4 more in 100	-4.2%1.1 fewer in 100	-11.1%2.8 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and Farming Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 72 launches.

Launches counted: 7218 hits
Earned $100k+: 25.0 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 42 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 63 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 72 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 6717 hits
Earned $100k+: 25.4 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +1.5%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Luma Island (33.4% of the money): 71 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 7117 hits
Earned $100k+: 23.9 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -4.2%1.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 18 of 72.

Launches counted: 184 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 18too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -11.1%2.8 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Exploration and Farming Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 72 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 72 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Luma Island (33.4% of the money): 71 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 18 of 72.

Exploration holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Exploration through every lens, all prices
Exploration	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view4,432 of 4,635 launches	Without the breakout4,634 of 4,635 launches	Last 18 months1,277 of 4,635 launches
Launches counted	4,635375 hits	4,432357 hits	4,634374 hits	1,27799 hits
Earned $100k+	8.1 in 1001 in 12	8.1 in 1001 in 12	8.1 in 1001 in 12	7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings	$876top tenth $64,081+	$894	$876	$858
Chance against standard	the base	-0.4%no change	-0.2%no change	-4.2%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+2.1%$18 more	0.0%no change	-2.1%$18 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,635 launches.

Launches counted: 4,635375 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $876top tenth $64,081+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 203 of 4,635 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 4,432357 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $894
Chance against standard: -0.4%no change
Typical against standard: +2.1%$18 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (23.3% of the money): 4,634 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 4,634374 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $876
Chance against standard: -0.2%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,277 of 4,635.

Launches counted: 1,27799 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $858
Chance against standard: -4.2%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -2.1%$18 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Exploration, 12 to 36 months old: 4,635 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 203 of 4,635 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (23.3% of the money): 4,634 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,277 of 4,635.

Farming Sim holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Farming Sim through every lens, all prices
Farming Sim	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view329 of 355 launches	Without the breakout354 of 355 launches	Last 18 months114 of 355 launches
Launches counted	35551 hits	32948 hits	35450 hits	11414 hits
Earned $100k+	14.4 in 100	14.6 in 100	14.1 in 100	12.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$1,299top tenth $205,439+	$1,463	$1,299	$1,050
Chance against standard	the base	+1.6%0.2 more in 100	-1.7%0.2 fewer in 100	-14.5%2.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+12.6%$164 more	0.0%no change	-19.2%$249 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Farming Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 355 launches.

Launches counted: 35551 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,299top tenth $205,439+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 355 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 32948 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,463
Chance against standard: +1.6%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +12.6%$164 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Farming Simulator 25 (33.8% of the money): 354 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 35450 hits
Earned $100k+: 14.1 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,299
Chance against standard: -1.7%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 114 of 355.

Launches counted: 11414 hits
Earned $100k+: 12.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $1,050
Chance against standard: -14.5%2.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -19.2%$249 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Farming Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 355 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 355 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Farming Simulator 25 (33.8% of the money): 354 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 114 of 355.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Exploration + Farming Sim moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.