Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 3D + Combat Racing
3D + Combat Racing
Games tagged both 3D and Combat Racing: 80 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Combat Racing priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with 3D and beats Combat Racing; priced $10 to $20 it trails 3D and beats Combat Racing.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Combat Racing trails 3D and beats Combat Racing: 1 of its 12 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for 3D and 5.7 in 100 for Combat Racing.
Small sample: 12 launches, 1 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 12 games tagged both 3D and Combat Racing priced $10 to $20. 8.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.4 for 3D-only games and 4.3 for Combat Racing-only games, so the mix trails 3D alone and beats Combat Racing alone.
Both: 12 games priced $10 to $20; 8.3 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 12), typical first-year earnings $1,113.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 12 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Combat Racing is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view80 of 80 launches | Without the breakout79 of 80 launches | Last 18 months43 of 80 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 803 hits | 803 hits | 792 hits | 432 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 2.5 in 1001 in 40 | 4.7 in 1001 in 21 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $403top tenth $8,738+ | $403 | $385 | $243 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -34.2%1.3 fewer in 100 | +23.7%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -4.5%$18 less | -39.7%$160 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Combat Racing, 6 to 30 months old: 80 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 80 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Carmageddon: Rogue Shift (46.8% of the money): 79 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 43 of 80.
3D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view6,601 of 6,819 launches | Without the breakout6,818 of 6,819 launches | Last 18 months3,701 of 6,819 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,819286 hits | 6,601279 hits | 6,818285 hits | 3,701152 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $16,029+ | $405 | $404 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.
Combat Racing is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Combat Racing | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view191 of 197 launches | Without the breakout196 of 197 launches | Last 18 months115 of 197 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1975 hits | 1915 hits | 1964 hits | 1154 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.5 in 1001 in 40 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $405top tenth $12,957+ | $443 | $405 | $364 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +4.0%0.1 more in 100 | -20.0%0.5 fewer in 100 | +40.0%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +9.4%$38 more | 0.0%no change | -10.1%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Combat Racing, 6 to 30 months old: 197 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 197 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Karters 2: Turbo Charged (22.8% of the money): 196 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 115 of 197.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Combat Racing moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.