Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 3D + Character Customization
3D + Character Customization
Games tagged both 3D and Character Customization: 218 indie paid launches, 19 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Character Customization priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats 3D and trails Character Customization; priced $10 to $20 it beats 3D and is about level with Character Customization.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Character Customization beats 3D and is about level with Character Customization: 24.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.2 in 100 for 3D and 25.7 in 100 for Character Customization.
That is about 1.2 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 41 games tagged both 3D and Character Customization priced $10 to $20. 24.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.8 in 100 for 3D-only games and 26.0 in 100 for Character Customization-only games, so the mix beats 3D alone and is about level with Character Customization alone.
Both: 41 games priced $10 to $20; 24.4 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 63 in 100 · $10k+ 46 in 100 · $100k+ 24 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 41 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Character Customization holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view212 of 218 launches | Without the breakout217 of 218 launches | Last 18 months59 of 218 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 21819 hits | 21218 hits | 21718 hits | 598 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 13.6 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $706top tenth $47,758+ | $758 | $701 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.6%0.2 fewer in 100 | -4.8%0.4 fewer in 100 | +55.6%4.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +7.4%$52 more | -0.7%$5 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Character Customization, 12 to 36 months old: 218 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 218 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Goat Simulator 3 (25.7% of the money): 217 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 59 of 218.
3D is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,991 of 6,212 launches | Without the breakout6,211 of 6,212 launches | Last 18 months1,727 of 6,212 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,212266 hits | 5,991260 hits | 6,211265 hits | 1,72786 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $353top tenth $16,040+ | $368 | $353 | $424 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.4%0.1 more in 100 | -0.4%no change | +16.3%0.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.2%$15 more | 0.0%no change | +20.1%$71 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,212 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 221 of 6,212 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (16.3% of the money): 6,211 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,727 of 6,212.
Character Customization is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Character Customization | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view828 of 852 launches | Without the breakout851 of 852 launches | Last 18 months234 of 852 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 852102 hits | 82898 hits | 851101 hits | 23431 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 12.0 in 100 | 11.8 in 100 | 11.9 in 100 | 13.2 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $957top tenth $122,551+ | $1,000 | $957 | $1,248 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | +10.7%1.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.5%$43 more | 0.0%no change | +30.4%$291 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Character Customization, 12 to 36 months old: 852 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 852 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, No Rest for the Wicked (25.3% of the money): 851 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 234 of 852.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Character Customization moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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