Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

3D + Bullet Hell: a typical launch earns $586 in its first year

That is the median of 94 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 3 of 189 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 14% on the year before: 126 against 111.

Price: $586
Price vs a year earlier: +44.8%
Releases, 12 months: 126
Upcoming games: 369
Games on the store: 878

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

3D + Bullet Hell on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.11%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.05% to 0.19%	17 ranked of 369 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#1,607 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.52xhits against expected	0.36x to 0.89x	189 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,551 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 3
Expected: 8.7

Launches: 189
Hit rate: 1.6%0.5% to 3.8%
Expected rate: 4.6%
Against expected: 0.52x0.36x to 0.89x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

189 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $324
Top tenth: $10,215

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 126
Prior 12 months: 111

Change: +14%

Parent tags

3DNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Bullet HellGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with 3D

pairs with 3D

3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months

Every pair with 3D

More with Bullet Hell

pairs with Bullet Hell

Bullet Hell + Bullet Heaven$14,81455 launches priced, 178 releases in 12 months
Bullet Hell + Female Protagonist$4,45135 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
Difficult + Bullet Hell$2,12150 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
Twin Stick Shooter + Bullet Hell$1,69964 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
Hack and Slash + Bullet Hell$1,41563 launches priced, 86 releases in 12 months
Bullet Hell + Procedural Generation$1,36634 launches priced, 34 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Bullet Hell

Verdicts

in development

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