Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Bullet Hell / Female Protagonist
Bullet Hell + Female Protagonist: a typical launch earns $4,451 in its first year
That is the median of 35 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 64 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 9% on the year before: 39 against 43.
- Price
- $4,451 median of 35 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +153.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 39 43 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 124 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 410 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.06%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.03% to 0.09% | 13 ranked of 124 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,338 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.92xhits against expected | 0.63x to 1.50x | 64 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,318 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +67%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +20% to +146% | 24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #71 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +13%review growth against same-age games | +2% to +27% | 24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #175 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 64
- Hit rate
- 6.3%3.1% to 14.7%
- Expected rate
- 7.2%
- Against expected
- 0.92x0.63x to 1.50x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
64 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $6
- Median
- $1,402
- Top tenth
- $48,141
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −9%
- Against Steam
- −32%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- Bullet HellGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Female ProtagonistNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- TEVI (opens the Steam store)2023 · 3,587 reviews, 88% positiveest. $1.7M
- Homura Hime (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,370 reviews, 90% positiveest. $1.1M
- Hell Maiden (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,888 reviews, 90% positiveest. $382k
- Touhou Kinjoukyou ~ Fossilized Wonders. (opens the Steam store)2025 · 837 reviews, 91% positiveest. $254k
- TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part III (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,254 reviews, 90% positiveest. $195k
- Mirage Feathers (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,579 reviews, 98% positiveest. $190k
- Touhou ~Red Empress Devil. (opens the Steam store)2024 · 440 reviews, 70% positiveest. $80k
- Touhou Lensed Night Sky, Kaseigai (opens the Steam store)2024 · 145 reviews, 95% positiveest. $65k
More with Bullet Hell
pairs with Bullet Hell- Bullet Hell + Bullet Heaven$14,81455 launches priced, 178 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Bullet Hell$2,12150 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Twin Stick Shooter + Bullet Hell$1,69964 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Hack and Slash + Bullet Hell$1,41563 launches priced, 86 releases in 12 months
- Bullet Hell + Procedural Generation$1,36634 launches priced, 34 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Bullet Hell$1,354242 launches priced, 435 releases in 12 months
More with Female Protagonist
pairs with Female Protagonist- Hack and Slash + Female Protagonist$10,32730 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- JRPG + Female Protagonist$6,70840 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Female Protagonist + Action Roguelike$6,55637 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Female Protagonist$5,30753 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
- Female Protagonist + LGBTQ+$4,85853 launches priced, 86 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Female Protagonist$4,27345 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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