Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + Building
Games tagged both 3D and Building: 184 indie paid launches, 18 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Building priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Building beats 3D and trails Building: 27.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.6 in 100 for 3D and 31.4 in 100 for Building.
That is about 1.5 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 44 games tagged both 3D and Building priced $10 to $20. 27.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 12.7 in 100 for 3D-only games and 32.3 in 100 for Building-only games, so the mix beats 3D alone and trails Building alone.
Both: 44 games priced $10 to $20; 27.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $10,805.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 44 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Building is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view180 of 184 launches | Without the breakout183 of 184 launches | Last 18 months51 of 184 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 18418 hits | 18018 hits | 18317 hits | 517 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.8 in 1001 in 10 | 10.0 in 100 | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 | 13.7 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $940top tenth $79,040+ | $941 | $919 | $1,340 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.2%0.2 more in 100 | -5.0%0.5 fewer in 100 | +40.3%3.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.1%$1 more | -2.2%$21 less | +42.6%$400 more; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Building, 12 to 36 months old: 184 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 184 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Farming Simulator 25 (73.7% of the money): 183 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 51 of 184.
3D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,903 of 6,122 launches | Without the breakout6,121 of 6,122 launches | Last 18 months1,738 of 6,122 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,122236 hits | 5,903230 hits | 6,121235 hits | 1,73877 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $354top tenth $13,485+ | $375 | $354 | $383 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%no change | -0.4%no change | +14.9%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.9%$21 more | 0.0%no change | +8.2%$29 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,122 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,122 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (18.3% of the money): 6,121 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,738 of 6,122.
Building is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Building | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view817 of 844 launches | Without the breakout843 of 844 launches | Last 18 months243 of 844 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 844157 hits | 817153 hits | 843156 hits | 24350 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 18.6 in 100 | 18.7 in 100 | 18.5 in 100 | 20.6 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,297top tenth $304,523+ | $2,486 | $2,297 | $4,366 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.7%0.1 more in 100 | -0.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | +10.6%2.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +8.2%$189 more | 0.0%no change | +90.1%$2,069 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Building, 12 to 36 months old: 844 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 27 of 844 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Enshrouded (17.7% of the money): 843 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 243 of 844.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Building moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.