Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + Arcade
Games tagged both 3D and Arcade: 967 indie paid launches, 25 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Arcade priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails 3D and is level with Arcade; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Arcade trails both its tags: 10.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for 3D and 10.7 in 100 for Arcade.
That is about 0.5 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 108 games tagged both 3D and Arcade priced $10 to $20. 10.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.9 for 3D-only games and 10.9 for Arcade-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 108 games priced $10 to $20; 10.2 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $3,157.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 108 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Arcade holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view964 of 967 launches | Without the breakout966 of 967 launches | Last 18 months523 of 967 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 96725 hits | 96425 hits | 96624 hits | 52315 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 2.5 in 1001 in 40 | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $202top tenth $9,097+ | $202 | $202 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -3.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | +11.5%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Arcade, 6 to 30 months old: 967 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 967 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, iRacing Arcade (6.8% of the money): 966 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 523 of 967.
3D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view6,601 of 6,819 launches | Without the breakout6,818 of 6,819 launches | Last 18 months3,701 of 6,819 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,819286 hits | 6,601279 hits | 6,818285 hits | 3,701152 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $16,029+ | $405 | $404 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.
Arcade holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Arcade | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,022 of 4,045 launches | Without the breakout4,044 of 4,045 launches | Last 18 months2,226 of 4,045 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,04599 hits | 4,02297 hits | 4,04498 hits | 2,22657 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $243top tenth $8,098+ | $243 | $243 | $242 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | +8.3%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -0.4%$1 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Arcade, 6 to 30 months old: 4,045 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 4,045 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (25.5% of the money): 4,044 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,226 of 4,045.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Arcade moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.