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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / 2D + Turn-Based Strategy

Niche

2D + Turn-Based Strategy

Games tagged both 2D and Turn-Based Strategy: 372 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing 2D + Turn-Based Strategy priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 2D and trails Turn-Based Strategy; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

2D + Turn-Based Strategy trails both its tags: 9.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.8 in 100 for 2D and 15.6 in 100 for Turn-Based Strategy.

That is 1 in 11, about 0.5 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

TIEA tie
Tag onemood tag2D
13.8in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds13.8 in 100
Typical earnings$5,569
Launches960 / 132 hits
Pair trails by4.4 in 100
3RDThird
This pair2D + Turn-Based Strategy
9.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds1 in 11
Typical earnings$5,899
Launches64 / 6 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIEA tie
15.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds15.6 in 100
Typical earnings$8,331
Launches275 / 43 hits
Pair trails by6.3 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $202D is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 64 games tagged both 2D and Turn-Based Strategy priced $10 to $20. 9.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.1 in 100 for 2D-only games and 17.5 in 100 for Turn-Based Strategy-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.

Both: 64 games priced $10 to $20; 9.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 11), typical first-year earnings $5,899.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 64 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

SteamWorld Heist IIleads this pair18.9%
PairSteamWorld Heist II18.9%
2DHollow Knight: Silksong39.3%
Turn-Based StrategyFor The King II8.8%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 2D + Turn-Based Strategy

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • SteamWorld Heist II earned 18.9% of the estimated first-year money of the 372 2D + Turn-Based Strategy launches.
  • 2D is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 39.3% of its money.
  • Turn-Based Strategy is led by For The King II, with 8.8% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

2D + Turn-Based Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

2D + Turn-Based Strategy through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view309 of 372 launchesWithout the breakout371 of 372 launchesLast 18 months118 of 372 launches
Launches counted37211 hits30910 hits37110 hits1185 hits
Earned $100k+3.0 in 1001 in 343.2 in 1001 in 312.7 in 1001 in 374.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings$470top tenth $17,061+$472$460$401
Chance against standardthe base+9.4%0.3 more in 100-8.8%0.3 fewer in 100+43.3%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+0.4%$2 more-2.1%$10 less-14.7%$69 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Turn-Based Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 372 launches.

Launches counted
37211 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings
$470top tenth $17,061+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 63 of 372 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
30910 hits
Earned $100k+
3.2 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings
$472
Chance against standard
+9.4%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
+0.4%$2 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, SteamWorld Heist II (18.9% of the money): 371 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
37110 hits
Earned $100k+
2.7 in 1001 in 37
Typical first-year earnings
$460
Chance against standard
-8.8%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-2.1%$10 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 118 of 372.

Launches counted
1185 hits
Earned $100k+
4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings
$401
Chance against standard
+43.3%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
-14.7%$69 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Turn-Based Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 372 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 63 of 372 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, SteamWorld Heist II (18.9% of the money): 371 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 118 of 372.

2D is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

2D through every lens, all prices
2DBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view7,740 of 8,238 launchesWithout the breakout8,237 of 8,238 launchesLast 18 months2,299 of 8,238 launches
Launches counted8,238239 hits7,740217 hits8,237238 hits2,29974 hits
Earned $100k+2.9 in 1001 in 342.8 in 1001 in 362.9 in 1001 in 353.2 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings$286top tenth $11,851+$303$286$285
Chance against standardthe base-3.4%0.1 fewer in 100-0.4%no change+10.9%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+5.9%$17 more0.0%no change-0.3%$1 less
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,238 launches.

Launches counted
8,238239 hits
Earned $100k+
2.9 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings
$286top tenth $11,851+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 498 of 8,238 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
7,740217 hits
Earned $100k+
2.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings
$303
Chance against standard
-3.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+5.9%$17 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (39.3% of the money): 8,237 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
8,237238 hits
Earned $100k+
2.9 in 1001 in 35
Typical first-year earnings
$286
Chance against standard
-0.4%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,299 of 8,238.

Launches counted
2,29974 hits
Earned $100k+
3.2 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings
$285
Chance against standard
+10.9%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
-0.3%$1 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,238 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 498 of 8,238 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (39.3% of the money): 8,237 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,299 of 8,238.

Turn-Based Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Turn-Based Strategy through every lens, all prices
Turn-Based StrategyBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view943 of 1,084 launchesWithout the breakout1,083 of 1,084 launchesLast 18 months353 of 1,084 launches
Launches counted1,08474 hits94366 hits1,08373 hits35324 hits
Earned $100k+6.8 in 1001 in 157.0 in 1001 in 146.7 in 1001 in 156.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings$847top tenth $51,956+$945$847$842
Chance against standardthe base+2.5%0.2 more in 100-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100-0.4%no change
Typical against standardthe base+11.6%$98 more0.0%no change-0.6%$5 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Turn-Based Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,084 launches.

Launches counted
1,08474 hits
Earned $100k+
6.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$847top tenth $51,956+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 141 of 1,084 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
94366 hits
Earned $100k+
7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$945
Chance against standard
+2.5%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+11.6%$98 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, For The King II (8.8% of the money): 1,083 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,08373 hits
Earned $100k+
6.7 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$847
Chance against standard
-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 353 of 1,084.

Launches counted
35324 hits
Earned $100k+
6.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$842
Chance against standard
-0.4%no change
Typical against standard
-0.6%$5 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Turn-Based Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,084 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 141 of 1,084 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, For The King II (8.8% of the money): 1,083 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 353 of 1,084.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 2D + Turn-Based Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.