Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
2D + Sandbox
Games tagged both 2D and Sandbox: 179 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 2D + Sandbox priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 2D and trails Sandbox; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with 2D and is too small to compare with Sandbox.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
2D + Sandbox is too small to compare with 2D and is too small to compare with Sandbox: 6 of its 29 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 13.8 in 100 for 2D and 29.7 in 100 for Sandbox.
Small sample: 29 launches, 6 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 29 games tagged both 2D and Sandbox priced $10 to $20. 6 of 29 of them earned $100k+, against 13.5 in 100 for 2D-only games and 30.5 in 100 for Sandbox-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 2D alone and is too small to compare with Sandbox alone.
Both: 29 games priced $10 to $20; 6 of 29 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $19,849.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 29 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
2D + Sandbox holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view172 of 179 launches | Without the breakout178 of 179 launches | Last 18 months61 of 179 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 17910 hits | 17210 hits | 1789 hits | 614 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 | 4 of 61too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $470top tenth $29,991+ | $472 | $470 | $535 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +4.1%0.2 more in 100 | -9.5%0.5 fewer in 100 | +17.4%1.0 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.4%$2 more | 0.0%no change | +13.8%$65 more; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 179 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 179 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, News Tower (23.8% of the money): 178 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 61 of 179.
2D is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| 2D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view7,740 of 8,238 launches | Without the breakout8,237 of 8,238 launches | Last 18 months2,299 of 8,238 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 8,238239 hits | 7,740217 hits | 8,237238 hits | 2,29974 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 | 2.9 in 1001 in 35 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $286top tenth $11,851+ | $303 | $286 | $285 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -3.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.4%no change | +10.9%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.9%$17 more | 0.0%no change | -0.3%$1 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,238 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 498 of 8,238 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (39.3% of the money): 8,237 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,299 of 8,238.
Sandbox is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Sandbox | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,172 of 1,219 launches | Without the breakout1,218 of 1,219 launches | Last 18 months387 of 1,219 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,219193 hits | 1,172181 hits | 1,218192 hits | 38762 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.8 in 100 | 15.4 in 100 | 15.8 in 100 | 16.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,882top tenth $223,977+ | $1,914 | $1,882 | $2,011 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.5%0.4 fewer in 100 | -0.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +1.2%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.7%$32 more | 0.0%no change | +6.9%$129 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,219 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 1,219 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.8% of the money): 1,218 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 387 of 1,219.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 2D + Sandbox moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.