Niche

2D + Rhythm

Games tagged both 2D and Rhythm: 121 indie paid launches, 7 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 100+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 100+ launches Reset

Showing 2D + Rhythm priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 2D and is about level with Rhythm; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

14 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

1STWinner

Tag onemood tag2D

15.9in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds15.9 in 100

Typical earnings$7,358

Launches961 / 153 hits

Pairno reading

--No reading

This pair2D + Rhythm

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches14

14 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

--No reading

Tag twoRhythm

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches63

63 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $202D is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices121 in pair Under $576 in pair $5 to $1028 in pair $10 to $2014 in pair$20 to $403: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 14 games tagged both 2D and Rhythm priced $10 to $20. 6 of 14 of them earned $100k+, against 15.5 in 100 for 2D-only games and 14.3 in 100 for Rhythm-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 2D alone and is too small to compare with Rhythm alone.

Both: 14 games priced $10 to $20; 6 of 14 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 14 of 14 launches · $10k+ 10 of 14 launches · $100k+ 6 of 14 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 14 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Rift of the NecroDancerleads this pair34.5%

PairRift of the NecroDancer34.5%

2DHollow Knight: Silksong40.1%

RhythmRift of the NecroDancer17.4%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 2D + Rhythm

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Rift of the NecroDancer earned 34.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 121 2D + Rhythm launches.
2D is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 40.1% of its money.
It also leads Rhythm, with 17.4% of that tag's money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

2D + Rhythm holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

2D + Rhythm through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view114 of 121 launches	Without the breakout120 of 121 launches	Last 18 months32 of 121 launches
Launches counted	1217 hits	1147 hits	1206 hits	323 hits
Earned $100k+	5.8 in 1001 in 17	6.1 in 1001 in 16	5.0 in 1001 in 20	3 of 32too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$236top tenth $19,406+	$238	$236	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+6.1%0.4 more in 100	-13.6%0.8 fewer in 100	+62.1%3.6 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+0.8%$2 more	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Rhythm, 12 to 36 months old: 121 launches.

Launches counted: 1217 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $236top tenth $19,406+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 121 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1147 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $238
Chance against standard: +6.1%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +0.8%$2 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (34.5% of the money): 120 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1206 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $236
Chance against standard: -13.6%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 32 of 121.

Launches counted: 323 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 32too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +62.1%3.6 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and Rhythm, 12 to 36 months old: 121 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 121 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (34.5% of the money): 120 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 32 of 121.

2D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

2D through every lens, all prices
2D	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view7,744 of 8,243 launches	Without the breakout8,242 of 8,243 launches	Last 18 months2,301 of 8,243 launches
Launches counted	8,243270 hits	7,744248 hits	8,242269 hits	2,30184 hits
Earned $100k+	3.3 in 1001 in 31	3.2 in 1001 in 31	3.3 in 1001 in 31	3.7 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings	$291top tenth $13,367+	$307	$291	$268
Chance against standard	the base	-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.4%no change	+11.5%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+5.5%$16 more	0.0%no change	-7.9%$23 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,243 launches.

Launches counted: 8,243270 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings: $291top tenth $13,367+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 499 of 8,243 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 7,744248 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.2 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings: $307
Chance against standard: -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +5.5%$16 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (40.1% of the money): 8,242 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 8,242269 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings: $291
Chance against standard: -0.4%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,301 of 8,243.

Launches counted: 2,30184 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.7 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings: $268
Chance against standard: +11.5%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: -7.9%$23 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 12 to 36 months old: 8,243 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 499 of 8,243 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (40.1% of the money): 8,242 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,301 of 8,243.

Rhythm holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Rhythm through every lens, all prices
Rhythm	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view339 of 357 launches	Without the breakout356 of 357 launches	Last 18 months85 of 357 launches
Launches counted	35720 hits	33920 hits	35619 hits	856 hits
Earned $100k+	5.6 in 1001 in 18	5.9 in 1001 in 17	5.3 in 1001 in 19	7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$332top tenth $44,858+	$346	$332	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+5.3%0.3 more in 100	-4.7%0.3 fewer in 100	+26.0%1.5 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.2%$14 more	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Rhythm, 12 to 36 months old: 357 launches.

Launches counted: 35720 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $332top tenth $44,858+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 357 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 33920 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $346
Chance against standard: +5.3%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: +4.2%$14 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (17.4% of the money): 356 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 35619 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $332
Chance against standard: -4.7%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 85 of 357.

Launches counted: 856 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +26.0%1.5 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Rhythm, 12 to 36 months old: 357 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 357 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Rift of the NecroDancer (17.4% of the money): 356 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 85 of 357.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 2D + Rhythm moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.