Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
2D + Retro: a typical launch earns $303 in its first year
That is the median of 292 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 18 of 596 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 25.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 33% on the year before: 459 against 344.
- Price
- $303 median of 292 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −58.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 459 344 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 664 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 3,335 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.27%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.13% to 0.39% | 40 ranked of 664 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #840 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.74xhits against expected | 0.54x to 1.04x | 596 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,455 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| 0%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −14% to +13% | 76 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,458 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −2%review growth against same-age games | −10% to +5% | 76 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #2,125 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 596
- Hit rate
- 3.0%1.6% to 5.7%
- Expected rate
- 4.2%
- Against expected
- 0.74x0.54x to 1.04x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
596 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $303
- Top tenth
- $12,461
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +33%
- Against Steam
- −2%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- UFO 50 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,144 reviews, 94% positiveest. $3.6M
- KinitoPET (opens the Steam store)2024 · 13,472 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.6M
- NINJA GAIDEN: Ragebound (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,509 reviews, 91% positiveest. $1.2M
- Slots & Daggers (opens the Steam store)2025 · 7,454 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1.2M
- Pipistrello and the Cursed Yoyo (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,011 reviews, 97% positiveest. $718k
- Mighty Morphin Power Rangers: Rita's Rewind (opens the Steam store)2024 · 714 reviews, 65% positiveest. $506k
- HUNTDOWN: OVERTIME (opens the Steam store)2026 · 854 reviews, 88% positiveest. $294k
- Guns of Fury (opens the Steam store)2025 · 963 reviews, 88% positiveest. $292k
More with 2D
pairs with 2D- 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,77234 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Romance$3,28176 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Dating Sim$2,55991 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- 2D + LGBTQ+$2,46550 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Historical$2,32474 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
More with Retro
pairs with Retro- Story Rich + Retro$3,28551 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Retro$1,59566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Retro$1,574105 launches priced, 151 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Retro$1,45461 launches priced, 124 releases in 12 months
- Retro + 1990's$1,41683 launches priced, 147 releases in 12 months
- Retro + Mystery$1,40436 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.