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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / 2D + PvP

Niche

2D + PvP

Games tagged both 2D and PvP: 259 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing 2D + PvP priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

36 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

2NDRunner-up
Tag onemood tag2D
14.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.4 in 100
Typical earnings$6,072
Launches1,032 / 149 hits
Pairno reading
--No reading
This pair2D + PvP
--too few
to read
Odds--
Typical earnings--
Launches36

36 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

1STWinner
Tag twomood tagPvP
15.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds15.5 in 100
Typical earnings$5,767
Launches193 / 30 hits
Pairno reading
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $202D is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 36 games tagged both 2D and PvP priced $10 to $20. 11.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.6 for 2D-only games and 16.6 for PvP-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.

Both: 36 games priced $10 to $20; 11.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $4,209.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 36 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

FATAL FURY: City of the Wolvesleads this pair39.2%
PairFATAL FURY: City of the Wolves39.2%
2DHollow Knight: Silksong32.4%
PvPREMATCH29.3%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 2D + PvP

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • FATAL FURY: City of the Wolves earned 39.2% of the estimated first-year money of the 259 2D + PvP launches.
  • 2D is led by Hollow Knight: Silksong, with 32.4% of its money.
  • PvP is led by REMATCH, with 29.3% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

2D + PvP is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

2D + PvP through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view251 of 259 launchesWithout the breakout258 of 259 launchesLast 18 months137 of 259 launches
Launches counted2596 hits2516 hits2585 hits1374 hits
Earned $100k+2.3 in 1001 in 432.4 in 1001 in 421.9 in 1001 in 532.9 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings$324top tenth $13,149+$323$324$304
Chance against standardthe yardstick+4.3%0.1 more in 100-17.4%0.4 fewer in 100+26.1%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-0.3%$1 less0.0%no change-6.2%$20 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and PvP, 6 to 30 months old: 259 launches.

Launches counted
2596 hits
Earned $100k+
2.3 in 1001 in 43
Typical first-year earnings
$324top tenth $13,149+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 259 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
2516 hits
Earned $100k+
2.4 in 1001 in 42
Typical first-year earnings
$323
Chance against standard
+4.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
-0.3%$1 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, FATAL FURY: City of the Wolves (39.2% of the money): 258 launches left.

Launches counted
2585 hits
Earned $100k+
1.9 in 1001 in 53
Typical first-year earnings
$324
Chance against standard
-17.4%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 137 of 259.

Launches counted
1374 hits
Earned $100k+
2.9 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings
$304
Chance against standard
+26.1%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard
-6.2%$20 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both 2D and PvP, 6 to 30 months old: 259 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 259 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, FATAL FURY: City of the Wolves (39.2% of the money): 258 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 137 of 259.

2D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

2D through every lens, all prices
2DBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view8,723 of 9,279 launchesWithout the breakout9,278 of 9,279 launchesLast 18 months5,071 of 9,279 launches
Launches counted9,279280 hits8,723261 hits9,278279 hits5,071141 hits
Earned $100k+3.0 in 1001 in 333.0 in 1001 in 333.0 in 1001 in 332.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings$303top tenth $12,749+$303$303$243
Chance against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change-6.7%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change-19.8%$60 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 6 to 30 months old: 9,279 launches.

Launches counted
9,279280 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings
$303top tenth $12,749+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 556 of 9,279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
8,723261 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings
$303
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (32.4% of the money): 9,278 launches left.

Launches counted
9,278279 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings
$303
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 5,071 of 9,279.

Launches counted
5,071141 hits
Earned $100k+
2.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings
$243
Chance against standard
-6.7%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-19.8%$60 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged 2D, 6 to 30 months old: 9,279 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 556 of 9,279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Hollow Knight: Silksong (32.4% of the money): 9,278 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 5,071 of 9,279.

PvP holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

PvP through every lens, all prices
PvPBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,141 of 1,166 launchesWithout the breakout1,165 of 1,166 launchesLast 18 months648 of 1,166 launches
Launches counted1,16674 hits1,14172 hits1,16573 hits64837 hits
Earned $100k+6.3 in 1001 in 166.3 in 1001 in 166.3 in 1001 in 165.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings$541top tenth $33,177+$526$526$604
Chance against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change-9.5%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-2.8%$15 less-2.8%$15 less+11.6%$63 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 6 to 30 months old: 1,166 launches.

Launches counted
1,16674 hits
Earned $100k+
6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$541top tenth $33,177+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,166 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,14172 hits
Earned $100k+
6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$526
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-2.8%$15 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (29.3% of the money): 1,165 launches left.

Launches counted
1,16573 hits
Earned $100k+
6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$526
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-2.8%$15 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 648 of 1,166.

Launches counted
64837 hits
Earned $100k+
5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$604
Chance against standard
-9.5%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+11.6%$63 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 6 to 30 months old: 1,166 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,166 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (29.3% of the money): 1,165 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 648 of 1,166.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 2D + PvP moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.